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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Inter
T S S T S
0–0
Full-time
Atalanta
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 54%
57%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
47%
70%
Both score Ø 48%
33%
63%
Average goals
2,4
3,5
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 3. · Atalanta 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 31 27 3 1 +44 84
2 Napoli 30 19 6 5 +31 63
3 Inter 30 17 5 8 +22 56
4 Milan 31 14 10 7 +15 52
5 Atalanta 30 15 6 9 +23 51
6 Roma 31 14 9 8 +11 51
7 Torino 31 12 13 6 +12 49
8 Lazio 29 14 6 9 +12 48
9 Sampdoria 31 13 6 12 +10 45
10 Fiorentina 31 8 15 8 +7 39
11 Cagliari 31 9 9 13 -13 36
12 Sassuolo 30 8 11 11 -5 35
13 Parma 31 9 7 15 -17 34
14 Genoa 30 8 9 13 -14 33
15 Udinese 30 8 8 14 -13 32
16 Spal 31 8 8 15 -16 32
17 Empoli 31 7 7 17 -19 28
18 Bologna 30 6 9 15 -19 27
19 Frosinone 31 5 8 18 -31 23
20 Chievo 30 1 11 18 -40 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Atalanta
2′
🟨 Pierluigi Gollini
R. Nainggolan 🔁
↦ M. Brozović
23′
Half-time 0–0
62′
🔁 A. Masiello
↦ J. Palomino
63′
🟨 Gianluca Mancini
Borja Valero 🔁
↦ R. Gagliardini
66′
Matteo Politano 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 M. Barrow
↦ M. Pašalić
K. Baldé 🔁
↦ M. Politano
77′
82′
🔁 M. Pessina
↦ J. Iličić
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
23 João Miranda D
18 K. Asamoah D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
37 M. Škriniar D
44 I. Perišić M
8 M. Vecino M
77 M. Brozović M
5 R. Gagliardini M
9 M. Icardi F
16 M. Politano F
Bench (9)
14 R. Nainggolan
20 Borja Valero
11 K. Baldé
87 A. Candreva
27 D. Padelli
29 Dalbert Henrique
15 João Mário
21 Cédric Soares
13 A. Ranocchia

Coach: L. Spalletti

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
95 P. Gollini G
6 J. Palomino D
19 B. Djimsiti D
21 T. Castagne M
33 H. Hateboer M
23 G. Mancini D
10 A. Gómez F
72 J. Iličić F
15 M. de Roon M
11 R. Freuler M
88 M. Pašalić M
Bench (10)
5 A. Masiello
99 M. Barrow
22 M. Pessina
1 E. Berisha
7 A. Reca
31 F. Rossi
8 R. Gosens
41 Ibañez
44 D. Kulusevski
17 R. Piccoli

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.