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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Celta

T T T S U

3–1

Full-time

Sociedad

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 28%

23%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

63%

53%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Celta 18. · Sociedad 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	31	22	7	2	+50	73
2	Ath Madrid	31	18	8	5	+24	62
3	Real Madrid	31	19	3	9	+18	60
4	Getafe	31	13	11	7	+11	50
5	Sevilla	31	14	7	10	+14	49
6	Valencia	31	10	16	5	+7	46
7	Alaves	31	12	9	10	-6	45
8	Ath Bilbao	31	10	13	8	-2	43
9	Sociedad	30	10	10	10	+1	40
10	Leganes	31	10	10	11	-4	40
11	Betis	30	11	7	12	-5	40
12	Eibar	31	9	12	10	-2	39
13	Espanol	31	10	8	13	-10	38
14	Girona	31	8	10	13	-10	34
15	Levante	30	8	8	14	-12	32
16	Villarreal	30	6	12	12	-5	30
17	Valladolid	31	7	9	15	-19	30
18	Celta	30	7	8	15	-10	29
19	Vallecano	31	7	6	18	-20	27
20	Huesca	30	5	8	17	-20	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	12	3	1	+30	39
2	Ath Madrid	15	12	2	1	+18	38
3	Real Madrid	16	11	1	4	+15	34
4	Sevilla	15	9	3	3	+14	30
5	Eibar	16	8	5	3	+10	29
6	Getafe	15	9	1	5	+10	28
7	Ath Bilbao	16	7	7	2	+4	28
8	Leganes	15	7	6	2	+6	27
9	Espanol	15	8	2	5	+0	26
10	Valencia	16	5	10	1	+9	25
11	Alaves	15	6	7	2	+2	25
12	Betis	15	6	4	5	-2	22
13	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	+1	20
14	Celta	15	5	4	6	+1	19
15	Vallecano	16	4	5	7	-7	17
16	Villarreal	16	3	7	6	+0	16
17	Levante	14	4	4	6	-7	16
18	Huesca	15	3	5	7	-5	14
19	Valladolid	15	3	4	8	-10	13
20	Girona	16	2	6	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	10	4	1	+20	34
2	Real Madrid	15	8	2	5	+3	26
3	Ath Madrid	16	6	6	4	+6	24
4	Getafe	16	4	10	2	+1	22
5	Girona	15	6	4	5	+0	22
6	Valencia	15	5	6	4	-2	21
7	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	+0	20
8	Alaves	16	6	2	8	-8	20
9	Sevilla	16	5	4	7	+0	19
10	Betis	15	5	3	7	-3	18
11	Valladolid	16	4	5	7	-9	17
12	Levante	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Ath Bilbao	15	3	6	6	-6	15
14	Villarreal	14	3	5	6	-5	14
15	Leganes	16	3	4	9	-10	13
16	Espanol	16	2	6	8	-10	12
17	Celta	15	2	4	9	-11	10
18	Eibar	15	1	7	7	-12	10
19	Vallecano	15	3	1	11	-13	10
20	Huesca	15	2	3	10	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.