Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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VVV Venlo
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +74 | 71 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | +65 | 70 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +23 | 52 |
| 4 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +24 | 50 |
| 5 |
Heracles
|
27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | +3 | 45 |
| 6 |
Utrecht
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 40 |
| 7 |
Willem II
|
29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Vitesse
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | +7 | 36 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 |
Den Haag
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 12 |
VVV Venlo
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 |
Zwolle
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 |
For Sittard
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 |
FC Emmen
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -34 | 28 |
| 16 |
De Graafschap
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 |
Excelsior
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 |
NAC Breda
|
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -39 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
VVV Venlo
Utrecht
NAC Breda
VVV Venlo
VVV Venlo
PSV Eindhoven
VVV Venlo
Excelsior
Groningen
VVV Venlo
Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.