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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
Vitesse
T S U S S
0–2
Full-time
Willem II
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
43%
24%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
52%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 0
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 4. · Willem II 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 22 18 3 1 +46 57
2 Ajax 21 15 4 2 +30 49
3 PSV Eindhoven 21 13 7 1 +23 46
4 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +7 33
5 Heerenveen 19 9 5 5 +13 32
6 Utrecht 18 8 6 4 +6 30
7 Twente 21 8 6 7 +1 30
8 AZ Alkmaar 19 7 8 4 +6 29
9 Heracles 22 6 7 9 -7 25
10 Nijmegen 22 6 7 9 -14 25
11 Groningen 21 5 8 8 -3 23
12 Zwolle 22 6 5 11 -20 23
13 Willem II 21 5 7 9 -10 22
14 Go Ahead Eagles 22 5 4 13 -15 19
15 Sparta Rotterdam 21 4 6 11 -10 18
16 Excelsior 21 4 6 11 -15 18
17 Roda 22 2 11 9 -15 17
18 Den Haag 22 5 2 15 -23 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Willem II
M. Miazga 🔁
↦ M. van der Werff
37′
Half-time 0–0
70′
🟨 Katuku Derrick Tshimanga
N. Foor 🔁
↦ A. Tighadouini
72′
Kelvin Leerdam 🟨
75′
77′
🔁 J. Croux
↦ T. Haye
80′
🟨 Dico Koppers
Kevin Diks 🟨
81′
84′
D. Koppers 0–1
A. Kali
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ M. Nakamba
87′
90′
🟨 Obbi Oulare
91′
🔁 D. Wuytens
↦ Fran Sol
94′
O. Oularé 0–2
K. Tshimanga
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 E. Room G
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
5 K. Leerdam D
17 K. Diks D
10 A. Tighadouini F
34 L. Baker M
18 M. Nakamba M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
7 M. Rashica F
11 Nathan M
Bench (10)
19 M. Miazga
25 N. Foor
16 M. van Bergen
8 M. Ali
20 M. Osman
23 M. Tørnes
29 J. Lelieveld
30 A. Koryan
41 J. Calor
43 L. Faye

Coach: H. Fraser

Willem II

4-4-2
1 K. Lamprou G
4 J. Peters D
26 K. Tshimanga D
29 D. Lachman D
5 D. Koppers D
46 P. van Anholt D
20 A. Kali M
8 T. Haye M
25 E. Lieftink M
9 Fran Sol F
58 O. Oularé F
Bench (10)
14 J. Croux
15 D. Wuytens
7 J. Schuurman
10 E. Falkenburg
17 B. van den Boomen
23 N. Bertrams
24 G. Joppen
28 Asumah
30 A. Calcan
31 M. Branderhorst

Coach: E. van de Looi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.