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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Aalesund
T S S T S
1–3
Full-time
Brann
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,7
Scored
2,3
3,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+3,0
This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 34%
11%
56%
Points per game
0,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 39%
22%
56%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,4
2,0
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
6 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Brann 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 9 8 1 0 +18 25
2 Brann 9 5 2 2 +9 17
3 Sarpsborg 08 8 4 3 1 +4 15
4 Viking 8 4 2 2 +3 14
5 Tromso 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Stabaek 8 4 2 2 -1 14
7 Molde 9 4 1 4 +8 13
8 Lillestrom 8 4 1 3 +0 13
9 Valerenga 8 3 1 4 +0 10
10 Odd 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Rosenborg 9 2 3 4 -5 9
12 Stromsgodset 8 2 2 4 -3 8
13 Ham-Kam 8 2 1 5 -9 7
14 Sandefjord 8 1 3 4 -5 6
15 Haugesund 8 1 3 4 -7 6
16 Aalesund 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Brann
M. Karlsbakk 🔁
↦ K. Lunding
31′
37′
🟨 Ruben Kristiansen
1–0 E. Moses
A. Munksgaard
44′
Half-time 1–0
T. Murray 🔁
↦ J. Kitolano
46′
K. Barmen 🔁
↦ A. Diop
46′
Alexander Munksgaard 🟨
47′
48′
S. Heltne Nilsen 1–1
Kristoffer Barmen 🟨
52′
61′
🔁 U. Mathisen
↦ F. Børsting
Kristoffer Barmen 🟨
71′
Kristoffer Barmen 🟥
71′
B. Kristensen 🔁
↦ I. Atanga
77′
H. Melland 🔁
↦ E. Moses
77′
77′
🔁 T. Pedersen
↦ F. Knudsen
77′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ O. Didrik Blomberg
80′
N. Castro 1–2
88′
🟨 David Möller Wolfe
89′
U. Mathisen 1–3
B. Finne
92′
🔁 E. Myrlid
↦ B. Finne
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

3-4-3
1 S. Grytebust G
30 A. Andersen D
5 D. Fällman D
4 N. Hopland D
31 A. Munksgaard M
6 E. Segberg M
21 A. Diop M
25 J. Kitolano M
7 K. Lunding F
11 E. Moses F
19 I. Atanga F
Bench (9)
22 M. Karlsbakk
2 T. Murray
10 K. Barmen
29 B. Kristensen
37 H. Melland
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
13 M. Lansing
14 O. Kolskogen
33 S. Haram

Coach: M. Bøe

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
13 S. Crone D
3 F. Knudsen D
21 R. Kristiansen D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
7 M. Rasmussen M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
8 F. Myhre M
16 O. Didrik Blomberg F
11 B. Finne F
10 F. Børsting F
Bench (7)
14 U. Mathisen
23 T. Pedersen
9 N. Castro
41 E. Myrlid
12 E. Holmen Johansen
35 J. Torsvik
31 I. Hjorteseth

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.