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Eliteserien

Referee: S Sinnes

Sarpsborg 08

U U S S S

3–1

Full-time

Aalesund

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 28%

43%

13%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

29%

50%

Both score Ø 28%

43%

13%

Average goals

1,7

2,1

Scored

1,0

0,4

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%

20 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

11 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 4. · Aalesund 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Viking	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Brann	8	4	2	2	+7	14
4	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+0	12
6	Tromso	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Stabaek	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	Molde	8	3	1	4	+3	10
9	Valerenga	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Odd	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Rosenborg	8	2	3	3	-3	9
12	Stromsgodset	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Sandefjord	7	1	3	3	+0	6
14	Haugesund	7	1	3	3	-6	6
15	Ham-Kam	7	2	0	5	-9	6
16	Aalesund	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Viking	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Stabaek	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Molde	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Rosenborg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
7	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Lillestrom	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Ham-Kam	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Haugesund	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Sandefjord	3	1	1	1	+3	4
12	Odd	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Tromso	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Aalesund	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	+0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Tromso	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Odd	5	1	2	2	-2	5
7	Viking	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Brann	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Molde	4	1	0	3	+0	3
10	Stabaek	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	Rosenborg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Sandefjord	4	0	2	2	-3	2
13	Stromsgodset	4	0	1	3	-4	1
14	Haugesund	4	0	1	3	-7	1
15	Ham-Kam	3	0	0	3	-8	0
16	Aalesund	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.