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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Huru
Sogndal
S T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Start
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
50%
90%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,4
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 4. · Start 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 10 4 6 0 +4 18
2 Kongsvinger 10 6 0 4 +3 18
3 Start 10 4 5 1 +8 17
4 Sogndal 10 5 2 3 +1 17
5 Ranheim 10 5 2 3 +0 17
6 Moss 10 4 4 2 +1 16
7 Kristiansund 9 4 3 2 +1 15
8 Sandnes ULF 10 3 4 3 +4 13
9 KFUM Oslo 10 3 4 3 -1 13
10 Jerv 10 3 3 4 -1 12
11 hodd 10 2 5 3 +0 11
12 Mjondalen 10 3 2 5 -2 11
13 Bryne 9 2 4 3 -2 10
14 Raufoss 10 2 3 5 -1 9
15 Skeid 10 1 4 5 -10 7
16 Asane 10 0 5 5 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Start
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Jónsson
55′
59′
🔁 J. Gregersen
↦ B. Antonsson
70′
L. Mares 1–1
71′
🔁 Z. Sawo
↦ E. Derviskadic
71′
🔁 A. Nilsen
↦ S. Osestad
2–1 V. Ingimundarson
76′
P. Flo 🔁
↦ M. Sjølstad
84′
I. Twum 🔁
↦ J. Jónsson
84′
85′
🔁 E. Pedersen
↦ T. Strannegård
85′
🔁 R. Vikstøl
↦ H. Robstad
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ E. Flataker
90′
E. Kupen 🔁
↦ S. Ørjasæter
91′
95′
🟨 M. Grundetjern
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
4 D. Arrocha
26 A. van der Spa
17 M. Sjølstad
10 K. Skaanes
15 K. Nessø
7 J. Jónsson
8 V. Ingimundarson
11 A. Hoven
27 S. Ørjasæter
30 E. Flataker
Bench (9)
13 P. Flo
20 I. Twum
3 M. Gueye
9 E. Kupen
23 A. Nord
29 K. Steinset
32 M. Øren
35 D. Saetren
99 A. Díaz

Coach: T. Flo

Start

96 M. Fabricius Jensen
3 V. Wormgoor
15 H. Robstad
14 L. Mares
30 F. Østigård Ness
2 B. Antonsson
40 S. Osestad
8 M. Grundetjern
16 T. Strannegård
7 E. Derviskadic
10 A. Sanyang
Bench (7)
25 J. Gregersen
9 Z. Sawo
42 A. Nilsen
19 E. Pedersen
28 R. Vikstøl
12 H. Seierstad Johnsen
31 D. Dashaev

Coach: S. Tjelmeland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.