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Eliteserien
Referee: S Amland
Aalesund
T T T U T
3–1
Full-time
Molde
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,0
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
0%
43%
Points per game
0,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
71%
Both score Ø 29%
0%
57%
Average goals
1,9
3,3
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,9
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
13 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 11
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Molde 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 7 6 1 0 +13 19
2 Lillestrom 6 4 0 2 +1 12
3 Viking 6 3 2 1 +6 11
4 Brann 7 3 2 2 +4 11
5 Tromso 6 3 2 1 +2 11
6 Stabaek 6 3 2 1 +1 11
7 Molde 7 3 1 3 +5 10
8 Sarpsborg 08 6 2 3 1 +1 9
9 Odd 7 2 3 2 +0 9
10 Valerenga 6 2 1 3 -2 7
11 Sandefjord 6 1 3 2 +1 6
12 Rosenborg 7 1 3 3 -4 6
13 Haugesund 6 1 3 2 -5 6
14 Ham-Kam 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Stromsgodset 6 1 1 4 -4 4
16 Aalesund 7 0 1 6 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Molde
1–0 E. Moses
40′
Amidou Diop 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Berisha
↦ M. Kaasa
Alexander Juel Andersen 🟨
50′
55′
🟨 Ola Brynhildsen
2–0 I. Atanga
57′
3–0 I. Atanga
E. Moses
61′
John Kitolano 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 M. Løvik
↦ E. Knudtzon
65′
🔁 B. Hansen
↦ M. Bjørnbak
65′
🔁 M. Grødem
↦ E. Breivik
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ K. Lunding
69′
M. Karlsbakk 🔁
↦ I. Atanga
69′
O. Kolskogen 🔁
↦ A. Andersen
77′
86′
🔁 N. Ødegård
↦ O. Brynhildsen
B. Kristensen 🔁
↦ E. Moses
87′
90′
N. Ødegård 3–1
M. Grødem
David Fällman 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Veton Berisha
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

3-4-3
1 S. Grytebust G
30 A. Andersen D
5 D. Fällman D
4 N. Hopland D
31 A. Munksgaard M
6 E. Segberg M
21 A. Diop M
25 J. Kitolano M
7 K. Lunding F
11 E. Moses F
19 I. Atanga F
Bench (9)
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
22 M. Karlsbakk
14 O. Kolskogen
29 B. Kristensen
34 S. Holte
13 M. Lansing
40 E. Kolve
2 T. Murray
33 S. Haram

Coach: M. Bøe

Molde

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
2 M. Bjørnbak D
19 E. Haugan D
3 B. Risa D
21 M. Linnes M
15 M. Kaasa M
8 S. Heggheim M
16 E. Breivik M
14 E. Knudtzon M
20 K. Eriksen F
11 O. Brynhildsen F
Bench (9)
9 V. Berisha
31 M. Løvik
4 B. Hansen
22 M. Grødem
33 N. Ødegård
10 E. Kitolano
25 A. Hagelskjær
12 O. Petersen
7 M. Eikrem

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Amland · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.