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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Twente
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Groningen
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 18%
16%
20%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
56%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
64%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
26 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 17. · Groningen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 26 22 2 2 +42 68
2 Ajax 26 18 4 4 +44 58
3 AZ Alkmaar 26 17 5 4 +25 56
4 Feyenoord 26 12 6 8 +19 42
5 Utrecht 24 11 7 6 +1 40
6 Zwolle 26 11 7 8 -1 40
7 Vitesse 23 10 7 6 +12 37
8 Heerenveen 25 9 8 8 -1 35
9 Den Haag 24 9 6 9 -3 33
10 VVV Venlo 26 7 12 7 -5 33
11 Heracles 26 9 6 11 -13 33
12 Excelsior 26 9 5 12 -6 32
13 Groningen 25 5 10 10 -5 25
14 NAC Breda 26 6 6 14 -15 24
15 Willem II 26 6 5 15 -16 23
16 Sparta Rotterdam 26 4 6 16 -28 18
17 Twente 25 4 5 16 -19 17
18 Roda 26 4 5 17 -31 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Groningen
Danny Holla 🟨
37′
Haris Vučkić 🟨
42′
45′
🟨 Ajdin Hrustic
Half-time 0–1
57′
R. Doan 0–1
T. van Weert
A. Tighadouini 🔁
↦ O. Assaidi
61′
70′
🔁 Jesper Drost
↦ T. van Weert
1–1 T. Boere
A. Maher
71′
Adnane Tighadouini 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Deyovaisio Zeefuik
78′
🟨 Juninho Bacuna
L. Slagveer 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
81′
Peet Bijen 🟨
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-1-2
16 J. Drommel G
15 C. Cuevas D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
28 J. van der Lely D
21 D. Holla M
10 H. Vučkič M
20 A. Maher M
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
Bench (10)
34 A. Tighadouini
27 L. Slagveer
4 J. Hooiveld
5 S. Thesker
6 M. Maria
14 R. Jensen
18 M. Liendl
23 J. van der Heyden
26 J. Brondeel
29 M. El Hamdaoui

Coach: G. Verbeek

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević D
21 D. Warmerdam D
2 D. Zeefuik D
23 A. Hrustic M
7 J. Bacuna M
25 R. Doan M
36 T. van de Looi M
19 T. van Weert F
10 M. Mahi M
Bench (7)
17 Jesper Drost
14 C. Antuna
16 K. Begois
20 Y. van Nieff
31 J. Hoekstra
37 L. Kramer
47 M. Breij

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.