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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Roda

T U T T S

0–2

Full-time

Ajax

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

10%

70%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 35%

25%

45%

Average goals

1,9

2,8

Scored

0,6

2,1

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

11 Shots 22

2 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roda 17. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	20	16	3	1	+42	51
2	Ajax	20	14	4	2	+28	46
3	PSV Eindhoven	21	13	7	1	+23	46
4	Vitesse	21	9	6	6	+7	33
5	Heerenveen	19	9	5	5	+13	32
6	Utrecht	18	8	6	4	+6	30
7	Twente	20	8	6	6	+3	30
8	AZ Alkmaar	19	7	8	4	+6	29
9	Nijmegen	21	6	7	8	-12	25
10	Heracles	21	6	6	9	-7	24
11	Groningen	20	5	8	7	-1	23
12	Willem II	21	5	7	9	-10	22
13	Sparta Rotterdam	20	4	6	10	-9	18
14	Excelsior	21	4	6	11	-15	18
15	Den Haag	21	5	2	14	-21	17
16	Zwolle	20	4	5	11	-23	17
17	Roda	20	2	10	8	-13	16
18	Go Ahead Eagles	21	4	4	13	-17	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	11	9	2	0	+27	29
2	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+16	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Heerenveen	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Twente	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Vitesse	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Nijmegen	11	4	4	3	+1	16
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	3	5	2	+2	14
9	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Heracles	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Willem II	12	3	4	5	-6	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Groningen	10	2	5	3	-6	11
15	Go Ahead Eagles	10	3	1	6	-5	10
16	Den Haag	10	3	1	6	-6	10
17	Zwolle	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Roda	10	1	5	4	-3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	4	0	+16	25
2	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+12	23
3	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+15	22
4	Utrecht	9	4	4	1	+4	16
5	Vitesse	11	4	4	3	+3	16
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	+6	14
8	Groningen	10	3	3	4	+5	12
9	Twente	10	3	3	4	-3	12
10	Heracles	11	2	4	5	-8	10
11	Willem II	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Nijmegen	10	2	3	5	-13	9
13	Zwolle	9	2	2	5	-10	8
14	Roda	10	1	5	4	-10	8
15	Den Haag	11	2	1	8	-15	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Go Ahead Eagles	11	1	3	7	-12	6
18	Excelsior	11	1	3	7	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.