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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Twente
T T T U U
2–1
Full-time
Roda
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 16. · Roda 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 7 6 1 0 +16 19
2 Feyenoord 7 5 1 1 +6 16
3 Heracles 7 5 0 2 +8 15
4 PSV Eindhoven 7 4 2 1 +10 14
5 Zwolle 7 4 2 1 +6 14
6 Vitesse 7 3 2 2 +6 11
7 Roda 6 3 2 1 +1 11
8 Groningen 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Nijmegen 7 3 1 3 -2 10
10 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 +0 9
11 AZ Alkmaar 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Heerenveen 7 1 4 2 -2 7
13 Den Haag 7 1 3 3 -3 6
14 Willem II 7 1 3 3 -3 6
15 Excelsior 7 1 2 4 -5 5
16 Twente 6 0 3 3 -6 3
17 Cambuur 7 0 3 4 -16 3
18 De Graafschap 7 0 1 6 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Roda
1–0 J. Oosterwijk
H. Ziyech
25′
2–0 K. Mokotjo
H. Ziyech
29′
Half-time 2–0
62′
🔁 D. de Silva
↦ F. Noor
J. van der Heyden 🔁
↦ M. Olaitan
71′
74′
🟨 Tom van Hyfte
81′
T. Jurić 2–1
H. Faik
J. van der Lely 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Twente

16 J. Drommel G
3 Bruno Uvini D
25 P. Bijen D
17 H. ter Avest D
7 C. Ede F
5 R. Schilder D
6 F. Gutiérrez M
22 K. Mokotjo M
10 H. Ziyech M
99 M. Olaitan F
24 J. Oosterwijk F
Bench (7)
23 J. van der Heyden
28 J. van der Lely
1 N. Marsman
12 T. Hölscher
15 J. Andersen
19 S. Eghan
27 A. da Cruz

Roda

1 B. van Leer G
23 A. Swinkels D
3 G. Sankoh D
5 A. van Peppen D
17 H. Dijkhuizen D
4 R. Griffiths M
7 T. Van Hyfte M
24 F. Noor M
8 H. Faik M
27 E. Gyasi M
9 T. Jurić F
Bench (7)
10 D. de Silva
6 N. Rutjes
16 B. Jacobs
18 J. van Son
20 D. Werker
21 B. Verbist
28 M. Monteyne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.