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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Preston
U U S T U
1–1
Full-time
Birmingham
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Championship · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
37%
22%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
41%
22%
Both score Ø 39%
48%
30%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
6 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 8. · Birmingham 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 27 19 5 3 +30 62
2 Derby 27 15 7 5 +21 52
3 Cardiff 27 15 5 7 +15 50
4 Bristol City 28 13 9 6 +8 48
5 Sheffield United 27 13 4 10 +9 43
6 Leeds 27 13 4 10 +8 43
7 Fulham 25 11 8 6 +7 41
8 Preston 27 10 11 6 +4 41
9 Aston Villa 24 11 7 6 +13 40
10 Middlesbrough 25 12 4 9 +9 40
11 Brentford 27 10 10 7 +6 40
12 Ipswich 27 12 3 12 +1 39
13 Norwich 27 10 7 10 -4 37
14 QPR 27 8 9 10 -6 33
15 Nott'm Forest 27 10 2 15 -10 32
16 Millwall 27 7 10 10 -1 31
17 Sheffield Weds 27 7 10 10 -4 31
18 Reading 27 7 8 12 -5 29
19 Barnsley 27 6 9 12 -10 27
20 Hull 27 5 10 12 -5 25
21 Bolton 27 6 7 14 -20 25
22 Burton Albion 27 6 6 15 -25 24
23 Birmingham 27 6 5 16 -23 23
24 Sunderland 27 4 10 13 -18 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Birmingham
1–0 B. Davies
17′
37′
🟨 David Davis
Paul Gallagher 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
J. Earl 🔁
↦ B. Davies
46′
A. Browne 🔁
↦ J. Hugill
57′
59′
🟨 Maikel Kieftenbeld
63′
S. Gallagher 1–1
J. Maghoma
L. Moult 🔁
↦ C. Robinson
69′
86′
🔁 Che Adams
↦ J. Boga
Joshua Earl 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Preston

4-2-3-1
22 C. Maxwell G
23 P. Huntington D
5 T. Clarke D
3 G. Cunningham D
20 B. Davies D
12 P. Gallagher M
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson M
10 J. Harrop M
37 C. Robinson M
9 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
32 J. Earl
8 A. Browne
21 L. Moult
1 D. Rudd
7 D. Horgan
19 J. Welsh
39 B. Bodin

Coach: A. Neil

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
13 D. Stockdale G
3 J. Grounds D
12 H. Dean D
5 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
19 J. Maghoma M
26 D. Davis M
17 C. N'Doye M
20 J. Boga M
18 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
14 Che Adams
10 L. Jutkiewicz
15 C. Bramall
22 C. Jenkinson
27 Jota Peleteiro
28 M. Morrison
39 C. Trueman

Coach: S. Cotterill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.