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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Willem II

U S U U S

0–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

0,8

3,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

24%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

35%

47%

Both score Ø 47%

41%

53%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 11. · Nijmegen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	18	14	3	1	+37	45
2	Ajax	18	12	4	2	+24	40
3	PSV Eindhoven	18	10	7	1	+19	37
4	Heerenveen	17	9	4	4	+14	31
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	7	2	+9	28
6	Utrecht	16	7	6	3	+6	27
7	Vitesse	18	7	5	6	+4	26
8	Twente	18	6	6	6	+1	24
9	Heracles	18	5	6	7	-7	21
10	Groningen	17	5	5	7	-1	20
11	Willem II	17	4	7	6	-7	19
12	Nijmegen	17	4	7	6	-10	19
13	Sparta Rotterdam	18	4	5	9	-8	17
14	Den Haag	18	5	2	11	-15	17
15	Excelsior	18	4	4	10	-11	16
16	Zwolle	18	3	5	10	-23	14
17	Roda	18	1	10	7	-15	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	18	3	3	12	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	7	2	0	+22	23
2	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+13	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	Heerenveen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	Twente	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Heracles	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	4	1	+4	13
10	Nijmegen	9	3	4	2	+0	13
11	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Go Ahead Eagles	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Willem II	9	2	4	3	-4	10
16	Groningen	8	2	3	3	-6	9
17	Zwolle	10	2	3	5	-12	9
18	Roda	9	0	5	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+15	22
2	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	4	0	+13	19
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	+7	14
6	Utrecht	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Vitesse	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Groningen	9	3	2	4	+5	11
9	Willem II	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Twente	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Roda	9	1	5	3	-8	8
12	Heracles	9	1	4	4	-9	7
13	Den Haag	10	2	1	7	-12	7
14	Nijmegen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
15	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	2	6	-9	5
16	Excelsior	9	1	2	6	-10	5
17	Zwolle	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	9	0	2	7	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.