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Serie A

Referee: Luca J Pairetto

Genoa

T S U T S

3–4

Full-time

Palermo

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 22%

38%

Points per game

1,4

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

44%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

44%

63%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 12. · Palermo 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	14	0	3	+22	42
2	Roma	17	11	2	4	+19	35
3	Napoli	17	10	4	3	+19	34
4	Milan	17	10	3	4	+7	33
5	Lazio	16	9	4	3	+12	31
6	Atalanta	17	9	2	6	+5	29
7	Inter	17	8	3	6	+4	27
8	Fiorentina	16	7	5	4	+6	26
9	Torino	17	7	4	6	+8	25
10	Chievo	17	7	4	6	+1	25
11	Udinese	17	7	3	7	+0	24
12	Genoa	16	6	5	5	+1	23
13	Sampdoria	17	6	4	7	-3	22
14	Bologna	17	5	5	7	-5	20
15	Cagliari	17	6	2	9	-16	20
16	Sassuolo	17	5	2	10	-8	17
17	Empoli	17	3	5	9	-15	14
18	Crotone	17	2	3	12	-18	9
19	Pescara	17	1	5	11	-19	8
20	Palermo	16	1	3	12	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	9	0	0	+18	27
2	Roma	8	8	0	0	+18	24
3	Napoli	9	6	2	1	+11	20
4	Milan	9	6	2	1	+6	20
5	Torino	8	5	2	1	+10	17
6	Inter	8	5	2	1	+8	17
7	Lazio	8	5	1	2	+8	16
8	Genoa	8	4	4	0	+8	16
9	Sampdoria	8	5	1	2	+4	16
10	Fiorentina	8	4	4	0	+4	16
11	Cagliari	8	5	1	2	+0	16
12	Atalanta	8	5	0	3	+3	15
13	Chievo	9	4	3	2	+2	15
14	Udinese	9	4	2	3	+2	14
15	Bologna	9	4	2	3	+2	14
16	Sassuolo	8	4	0	4	-2	12
17	Crotone	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Empoli	9	2	2	5	-10	8
19	Pescara	9	0	4	5	-11	4
20	Palermo	8	0	0	8	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	8	4	3	1	+4	15
2	Juventus	8	5	0	3	+4	15
3	Napoli	8	4	2	2	+8	14
4	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Milan	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Roma	9	3	2	4	+1	11
7	Fiorentina	8	3	1	4	+2	10
8	Chievo	8	3	1	4	-1	10
9	Udinese	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Inter	9	3	1	5	-4	10
11	Torino	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Genoa	8	2	1	5	-7	7
13	Empoli	8	1	3	4	-5	6
14	Palermo	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Sampdoria	9	1	3	5	-7	6
16	Bologna	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Sassuolo	9	1	2	6	-6	5
18	Pescara	8	1	1	6	-8	4
19	Cagliari	9	1	1	7	-16	4
20	Crotone	9	0	1	8	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.