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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Leganes
T S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Eibar
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
27%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 15. · Eibar 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 15 11 4 0 +26 37
2 Sevilla 16 10 3 3 +11 33
3 Barcelona 15 9 4 2 +22 31
4 Villarreal 16 8 5 3 +14 29
5 Sociedad 16 9 2 5 +7 29
6 Ath Madrid 16 8 4 4 +15 28
7 Ath Bilbao 15 7 2 6 +2 23
8 Eibar 15 6 4 5 +2 22
9 Espanol 15 5 7 3 +1 22
10 Las Palmas 16 5 6 5 +2 21
11 Malaga 16 5 6 5 -1 21
12 Alaves 16 5 6 5 -2 21
13 Celta 15 6 3 6 -5 21
14 Betis 16 5 3 8 -11 18
15 Leganes 15 4 3 8 -14 15
16 La Coruna 15 3 4 8 -7 13
17 Valencia 15 3 3 9 -8 12
18 Sp Gijon 16 3 3 10 -16 12
19 Granada 16 1 6 9 -19 9
20 Osasuna 15 1 4 10 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Eibar
1–0 Guerrero
23′
Iago Herrerín 🟥
26′
Diego Barrios 🔁
↦ Rubén Pérez
29′
34′
🟨 Takashi Inui
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Adrián
↦ Dani García
57′
🔁 Kike
↦ Rubén Peña
David Timor 🟨
59′
62′
🟨 Adrián González
Unai López 🔁
↦ Omar Ramos
68′
70′
🔁 Bebé
↦ T. Inui
76′
Bebé 1–1
Luna
Luciano 🔁
↦ Guerrero
85′
Adrián Marín 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Leganes

4-2-3-1
13 Iago Herrerín G
18 Pablo Ínsua D
3 Bustinza D
4 Adrián Marín D
23 Omar Ramos M
21 Rubén Pérez M
24 Timor M
6 Alberto M
8 Gabriel M
9 Guerrero F
7 D. Machís M
Bench (7)
31 Diego Barrios
19 Unai López
20 Luciano
28 Sergio Arribas
29 Ranera
12 C. Medjani
27 Álvaro Molina

Coach: Asier Garitano

Eibar

4-4-2
1 Yoel G
18 Arbilla D
20 F. Lejeune D
19 Luna D
3 Alejandro Gálvez D
8 T. Inui M
21 Pedro León M
14 Dani García M
5 G. Escalante M
11 Rubén Peña D
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
24 Adrián
17 Kike
25 Bebé
7 Ander Capa
15 M. Dos Santos
23 Juncà
30 Markel Areitio

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.