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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
Zwolle
U S S U T
0–4
Full-time
Groningen
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 20%
23%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
54%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 14. · Groningen 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 13 10 2 1 +24 32
2 Ajax 13 9 3 1 +20 30
3 PSV Eindhoven 13 7 5 1 +14 26
4 Heerenveen 12 6 4 2 +11 22
5 Twente 13 5 5 3 +4 20
6 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 6 1 +6 18
7 Vitesse 14 4 5 5 +1 17
8 Utrecht 11 4 4 3 +1 16
9 Sparta Rotterdam 13 4 4 5 +0 16
10 Heracles 13 3 6 4 -3 15
11 Den Haag 13 4 2 7 -7 14
12 Excelsior 14 4 2 8 -8 14
13 Willem II 14 3 5 6 -8 14
14 Zwolle 13 3 4 6 -12 13
15 Nijmegen 13 2 6 5 -12 12
16 Go Ahead Eagles 14 3 2 9 -12 11
17 Groningen 12 2 4 6 -8 10
18 Roda 13 1 7 5 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Groningen
1′
S. Tibbling 0–1
R. Jenssen
Nicolai Brock-Madsen 🟨
15′
39′
T. van Weert 0–2
H. Hateboer
Half-time 0–2
Danny Holla 🟨
48′
A. Achahbar 🔁
↦ K. Ehizibue
65′
D. Warmerdam 🔁
↦ C. Verdonk
65′
77′
A. Rusnák 0–3
M. Mahi
A. Karagounis 🔁
↦ Q. Menig
78′
82′
🔁 S. Memišević
↦ K. Larsen
86′
M. Mahi 0–4
H. Hateboer
Bram Van Polen 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
3 T. van de Pavert D
5 C. Verdonk D
23 D. Holla M
14 W. Brama M
6 M. Saymak M
44 N. Brock-Madsen F
11 Q. Menig M
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (11)
9 A. Achahbar
21 D. Warmerdam
33 A. Karagounis
40 M. Hauptmeijer
8 W. Marinus
13 P. Sandler
16 K. Begois
17 J. Kvída
18 Gustavo Hebling
22 B. Schenkeveld
98 H. Mastour

Coach: R. Jans

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
6 E. Reijnen D
3 K. Larsen D
33 H. Hateboer M
8 R. Jenssen M
10 A. Rusnák M
22 S. Tibbling M
20 Y. van Nieff M
12 J. Bacuna M
19 T. van Weert F
14 M. Mahi M
Bench (10)
5 S. Memišević
2 J. Davidson
9 D. Hoesen
11 B. Linssen
13 A. Sørloth
17 Jesper Drost
23 H. Maduro
24 T. Hiariej
30 P. van der Vlag
45 O. Idrissi

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.