Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bournemouth
Southampton
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chelsea
|
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | +24 | 43 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +20 | 34 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +20 | 34 |
| 4 |
Man City
|
16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 33 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +16 | 30 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +7 | 30 |
| 7 |
West Brom
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +1 | 23 |
| 9 |
Southampton
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 |
Stoke
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 |
Watford
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 21 |
| 13 |
West Ham
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 |
Middlesbrough
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 |
Leicester
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 17 |
| 16 |
Burnley
|
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 |
Crystal Palace
|
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 |
Sunderland
|
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -13 | 14 |
| 19 |
Swansea
|
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -17 | 12 |
| 20 |
Hull
|
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -22 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Smith
M
N. Aké
D
C. Wilson
F
Coach: E. Howe
V. van Dijk
D
J. Clasie
M
P. Højbjerg
M
H. Reed
M
Coach: C. Puel
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bournemouth
Leicester
Burnley
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Arsenal
Bournemouth
Stoke
Bournemouth
Mark Clattenburg · 53 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.