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Premier League
Referee: Mark Clattenburg
Bournemouth
S T S T S
1–3
Full-time
Southampton
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,3
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
50%
31%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,9
1,8
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 10. · Southampton 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 17 14 1 2 +24 43
2 Liverpool 16 10 4 2 +20 34
3 Arsenal 16 10 4 2 +20 34
4 Man City 16 10 3 3 +15 33
5 Tottenham 16 8 6 2 +16 30
6 Man United 17 8 6 3 +7 30
7 West Brom 17 6 5 6 +2 23
8 Everton 16 6 5 5 +1 23
9 Southampton 16 5 6 5 -1 21
10 Bournemouth 16 6 3 7 -3 21
11 Stoke 17 5 6 6 -5 21
12 Watford 17 6 3 8 -8 21
13 West Ham 17 5 4 8 -12 19
14 Middlesbrough 17 4 6 7 -3 18
15 Leicester 17 4 5 8 -6 17
16 Burnley 16 5 2 9 -11 17
17 Crystal Palace 17 4 3 10 -4 15
18 Sunderland 17 4 2 11 -13 14
19 Swansea 17 3 3 11 -17 12
20 Hull 17 3 3 11 -22 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bournemouth Southampton
1–0 N. Aké
J. Wilshere
6′
14′
R. Bertrand 1–1
J. Clasie
34′
🟨 Sofiane Boufal
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Davis
↦ H. Reed
48′
J. Rodriguez 1–2
S. Davis
R. Fraser 🔁
↦ M. Pugh
55′
62′
🔁 D. Tadić
↦ S. Boufal
B. Afobe 🔁
↦ C. Wilson
64′
J. Ibe 🔁
↦ J. King
72′
76′
🟨 Jordy Clasie
78′
🟨 Steven Davis
85′
J. Rodriguez 1–3
N. Redmond
93′
🔁 S. Long
↦ J. Rodriguez
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
1 A. Boruc G
2 S. Francis D
11 C. Daniels D
15 A. Smith M
3 S. Cook D
5 N. Aké D
8 H. Arter M
7 M. Pugh M
32 J. Wilshere M
13 C. Wilson F
17 J. King M
Bench (7)
24 R. Fraser
9 B. Afobe
33 J. Ibe
4 D. Gosling
14 B. Smith
23 A. Federici
26 T. Mings

Coach: E. Howe

Southampton

4-3-3
1 F. Forster G
3 M. Yoshida D
21 R. Bertrand D
2 Cédric Soares D
17 V. van Dijk D
4 J. Clasie M
22 N. Redmond F
23 P. Højbjerg M
19 S. Boufal F
18 H. Reed M
9 J. Rodriguez F
Bench (7)
8 S. Davis
11 D. Tadić
7 S. Long
6 José Fonte
15 R. Martina
16 J. Ward-Prowse
28 S. Taylor

Coach: C. Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mark Clattenburg · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
9,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.