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Serie A
Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi
Udinese
U T T S S
2–0
Full-time
Crotone
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 26%
38%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
69%
63%
Both score Ø 66%
63%
69%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Udinese 13. · Crotone 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 17 14 0 3 +22 42
2 Roma 17 11 2 4 +19 35
3 Milan 17 10 3 4 +7 33
4 Napoli 16 9 4 3 +17 31
5 Lazio 16 9 4 3 +12 31
6 Atalanta 17 9 2 6 +5 29
7 Inter 17 8 3 6 +4 27
8 Fiorentina 16 7 5 4 +6 26
9 Torino 16 7 4 5 +10 25
10 Genoa 16 6 5 5 +1 23
11 Chievo 16 6 4 6 +0 22
12 Sampdoria 16 6 4 6 -2 22
13 Udinese 16 6 3 7 -2 21
14 Cagliari 17 6 2 9 -16 20
15 Sassuolo 17 5 2 10 -8 17
16 Bologna 16 4 5 7 -8 17
17 Empoli 17 3 5 9 -15 14
18 Crotone 16 2 3 11 -16 9
19 Pescara 16 1 5 10 -16 8
20 Palermo 16 1 3 12 -20 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Crotone
38′
🟨 Lorenzo Crisetig
1–0 C. Théréau
J. Jankto
43′
Half-time 1–0
E. Hallfreðsson 🔁
↦ J. Jankto
46′
52′
🔁 A. Stoian
↦ M. Rohdén
55′
🟨 Marcello Trotta
59′
🟨 Gianmarco Ferrari
60′
🔁 S. Nwankwo
↦ M. Trotta
2–0 C. Théréau
D. Zapata
61′
Ryder Matos 🔁
↦ R. de Paul
84′
86′
🟥 Alex Cordaz
87′
🔁 M. Festa
↦ R. Palladino
E. Agyemang-Badu 🔁
↦ C. Théréau
89′
90′
🟨 Andrea Barberis
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Udinese

4-3-3
1 O. Karnezis G
30 Felipe D
4 G. Angella D
3 Samir D
26 S. Kums M
27 S. Widmer M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
14 J. Jankto M
77 C. Théréau F
9 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
23 E. Hallfreðsson
19 Ryder Matos
8 E. Agyemang-Badu
2 M. Wagué
18 S. Perica
22 S. Scuffet
25 S. Perisan
37 D. Faraoni
53 Ali Adnan
95 Lucas Evangelista
96 Ewandro
99 A. Balić

Coach: L. Delneri

Crotone

4-4-2
1 A. Cordaz G
22 A. Rosi M
17 F. Ceccherini D
13 G. Ferrari D
8 L. Crisetig M
87 B. Martella D
18 A. Barberis M
6 M. Rohdén M
7 R. Palladino F
11 D. Falcinelli F
29 M. Trotta F
Bench (12)
12 A. Stoian
99 S. Nwankwo
5 M. Festa
9 A. Nalini
14 E. Gnahoré
15 D. Mesbah
20 A. Salzano
23 N. Dussenne
31 M. Sampirisi
42 C. Suljic
77 N. Fazzi
95 V. Cojocaru

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Luca Sacchi · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.