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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
25 Shots 26
7 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 8. · Twente 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heracles 3 2 0 1 +6 6
2 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Roda 3 2 0 1 +0 6
5 PSV Eindhoven 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Den Haag 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Zwolle 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Vitesse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Utrecht 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Twente 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Excelsior 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Willem II 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Cambuur 3 0 1 2 -7 1
18 De Graafschap 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.