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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Zwolle
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Den Haag
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
2,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
0%
43%
Points per game
0,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
43%
86%
Both score Ø 57%
43%
71%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
0,4
1,4
Conceded
2,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zwolle 18. · Den Haag 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 7 7 0 0 +19 21
2 Ajax 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 1 1 +11 16
4 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +8 13
5 Twente 7 4 0 3 +2 12
6 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 +5 11
7 Vitesse 7 3 1 3 +3 10
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Excelsior 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 Den Haag 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Heracles 7 1 3 3 -3 6
12 Groningen 7 1 3 3 -4 6
13 Willem II 7 1 3 3 -6 6
14 Nijmegen 7 1 3 3 -7 6
15 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -3 5
16 Go Ahead Eagles 7 1 2 4 -7 5
17 Roda 7 0 3 4 -11 3
18 Zwolle 7 0 2 5 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Den Haag
Ted Van de Pavert 🟨
20′
28′
🟨 Tom Beugelsdijk
Half-time 0–0
B. Schenkeveld 🔁
↦ B. van Polen
46′
47′
T. Trybull 0–1
M. Havenaar
1–1 Y. Mokhtar
D. Holla
51′
M. Saymak 🔁
↦ W. Marinus
55′
65′
🟨 Danny Bakker
65′
🟨 Tom Trybull
65′
🟨 Edouard Duplan
2–1 Y. Mokhtar
W. Brama
70′
71′
🔁 S. Becker
↦ G. Kastaneer
75′
🔁 K. Jansen
↦ J. San Román
79′
🟨 Wilfried Kanon
81′
🟨 Tom Trybull
81′
🟥 Tom Trybull
85′
🔁 D. van der Heijden
↦ T. Beugelsdijk
A. Karagounis 🔁
↦ K. Ehizibue
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
3 T. van de Pavert D
5 C. Verdonk D
23 D. Holla M
14 W. Brama M
8 W. Marinus M
9 A. Achahbar F
7 Y. Mokhtar F
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (11)
22 B. Schenkeveld
6 M. Saymak
33 A. Karagounis
11 Q. Menig
13 P. Sandler
16 K. Begois
18 Gustavo Hebling
21 D. Warmerdam
40 M. Hauptmeijer
48 T. Evre
98 H. Mastour

Coach: R. Jans

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 E. Šetkus G
13 J. San Román D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
28 T. Ebuehi D
12 T. Trybull M
17 D. Bakker M
9 M. Havenaar F
21 E. Duplan F
20 R. Schaken F
33 G. Kastaneer F
Bench (9)
77 S. Becker
7 K. Jansen
19 D. van der Heijden
6 A. El Mahdioui
11 L. Marengo
22 R. Zwinkels
23 H. Hevel
24 R. de Boer
27 T. David

Coach: Z. Petrović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.