Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 1–0
The table before the match ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Boavista
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sp Lisbon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Benfica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |
Feirense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Vitoria Setubal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Guimaraes
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Sp Braga
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Belenenses
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 |
Rio Ave
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 |
Arouca
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |
Tondela
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Estoril
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Maritimo
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Line-ups
Chaves
4-2-3-1Bench (7)
Coach: Jorge Simão
Tondela
4-3-1-2
Cláudio Ramos
G
Miguel Cardoso
M
Bench (7)
Coach: Petit
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Recent matches
No matches played yet.
Referee
Rui Manuel Gomes Costa · 66 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.