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Ligue 1
Referee: Brisard Jerome
Guingamp
U S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Angers
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 13. · Angers 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 11 2 0 +34 35
2 Monaco 13 9 2 2 +22 29
3 Lyon 12 7 4 1 +17 25
4 Marseille 12 7 3 2 +9 24
5 Nantes 13 7 2 4 -1 23
6 St Etienne 13 5 3 5 -4 18
7 Caen 12 6 0 6 -5 18
8 Montpellier 12 4 4 4 +1 16
9 Bordeaux 12 4 4 4 -2 16
10 Rennes 12 4 3 5 -1 15
11 Troyes 12 4 3 5 -3 15
12 Toulouse 12 4 3 5 -5 15
13 Guingamp 12 4 2 6 -8 14
14 Angers 12 2 7 3 -3 13
15 Nice 12 4 1 7 -5 13
16 Lille 12 3 3 6 -4 12
17 Amiens 12 3 3 6 -6 12
18 Dijon 12 3 3 6 -7 12
19 Strasbourg 12 2 4 6 -10 10
20 Metz 12 1 0 11 -19 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.