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Serie A
Referee: Marco Piccinini
Sassuolo
U T T S U
0–0
Full-time
Parma
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
48%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
20 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 6
6 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 12. · Parma 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 27 3 2 +43 84
2 Napoli 31 19 7 5 +31 64
3 Inter 31 17 6 8 +22 57
4 Milan 32 15 10 7 +16 55
5 Roma 32 15 9 8 +12 54
6 Atalanta 31 15 7 9 +23 52
7 Torino 32 12 14 6 +12 50
8 Lazio 31 14 7 10 +11 49
9 Sampdoria 31 13 6 12 +10 45
10 Fiorentina 31 8 15 8 +7 39
11 Cagliari 32 9 10 13 -13 37
12 Sassuolo 31 8 12 11 -5 36
13 Spal 32 9 8 15 -15 35
14 Genoa 31 8 10 13 -14 34
15 Parma 31 9 7 15 -17 34
16 Udinese 31 8 8 15 -14 32
17 Bologna 31 7 9 15 -16 30
18 Empoli 31 7 7 17 -19 28
19 Frosinone 31 5 8 18 -31 23
20 Chievo 31 1 11 19 -43 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Nov -18 Parma – Sassuolo 2–1

Match report

Sassuolo Parma
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Y. Gervinho
↦ L. Siligardi
Alessandro Matri 🟨
53′
55′
🔁 M. Sprocati
↦ L. Rigoni
S. Sensi 🔁
↦ M. Bourabia
61′
K. Babacar 🔁
↦ A. Matri
73′
75′
🟨 Matteo Scozzarella
79′
🔁 A. Bastoni
↦ F. Ceravolo
Gianmarco Ferrari 🟨
86′
89′
🟨 Federico Dimarco
F. Đuričić 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
89′
Stefano Sensi 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
31 G. Ferrari D
3 M. Demiral D
21 Pol Lirola D
4 F. Magnanelli M
68 M. Bourabia M
20 J. Boga M
73 M. Locatelli M
10 A. Matri F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (12)
12 S. Sensi
30 K. Babacar
9 F. Đuričić
99 E. Brignola
32 A. Duncan
17 L. Sernicola
34 F. Di Francesco
6 Rogério
19 J. Odgaard
23 G. Magnani
79 G. Pegolo
5 M. Lemos

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Parma

4-3-3
55 L. Sepe G
23 M. Gazzola D
2 S. Iacoponi D
28 R. Gagliolo D
3 F. Dimarco D
17 A. Barillà M
32 L. Rigoni M
87 J. Kucka M
21 M. Scozzarella M
9 F. Ceravolo F
26 L. Siligardi F
Bench (12)
27 Y. Gervinho
93 M. Sprocati
95 A. Bastoni
44 R. Kasa
33 J. Dezi
31 Gabriel Brazão
5 L. Štulac
8 A. Diakhaté
14 Pepín
1 P. Frattali
10 N. Schiappacase
18 M. Gobbi

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Piccinini · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.