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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Inter

S U T S S

0–1

Full-time

Lazio

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 28/27 matches

Win Ø 53%

57%

48%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

46%

48%

Both score Ø 48%

36%

59%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

18 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

12 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 3. · Lazio 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	29	25	3	1	+41	78
2	Napoli	29	19	6	4	+32	63
3	Inter	28	16	5	7	+19	53
4	Milan	29	14	9	6	+16	51
5	Atalanta	29	14	6	9	+20	48
6	Roma	29	13	8	8	+10	47
7	Sampdoria	29	13	6	10	+12	45
8	Lazio	27	13	6	8	+12	45
9	Torino	29	11	12	6	+11	45
10	Fiorentina	29	8	14	7	+8	38
11	Genoa	29	8	9	12	-10	33
12	Cagliari	29	8	9	12	-12	33
13	Parma	29	9	6	14	-16	33
14	Sassuolo	29	7	11	11	-9	32
15	Spal	29	7	8	14	-16	29
16	Udinese	28	7	7	14	-14	28
17	Bologna	29	6	9	14	-16	27
18	Empoli	29	6	7	16	-19	25
19	Frosinone	29	3	8	18	-33	17
20	Chievo	29	1	11	17	-36	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	13	2	0	+24	41
2	Napoli	15	11	3	1	+22	36
3	Milan	15	9	3	3	+10	30
4	Inter	13	9	2	2	+15	29
5	Roma	14	8	4	2	+10	28
6	Lazio	14	8	3	3	+12	27
7	Sampdoria	14	8	2	4	+11	26
8	Torino	14	8	1	5	+7	25
9	Cagliari	14	6	6	2	+5	24
10	Genoa	15	6	6	3	+4	24
11	Fiorentina	14	5	7	2	+9	22
12	Atalanta	14	6	4	4	+9	22
13	Empoli	15	6	3	6	+0	21
14	Udinese	15	6	3	6	-2	21
15	Sassuolo	15	4	7	4	-4	19
16	Bologna	14	4	4	6	-6	16
17	Parma	15	4	4	7	-8	16
18	Spal	14	3	6	5	-6	15
19	Chievo	15	1	5	9	-17	8
20	Frosinone	14	0	5	9	-19	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	12	1	1	+17	37
2	Napoli	14	8	3	3	+10	27
3	Atalanta	15	8	2	5	+11	26
4	Inter	15	7	3	5	+4	24
5	Milan	14	5	6	3	+6	21
6	Torino	15	3	11	1	+4	20
7	Sampdoria	15	5	4	6	+1	19
8	Roma	15	5	4	6	+0	19
9	Lazio	13	5	3	5	+0	18
10	Parma	14	5	2	7	-8	17
11	Fiorentina	15	3	7	5	-1	16
12	Spal	15	4	2	9	-10	14
13	Sassuolo	14	3	4	7	-5	13
14	Frosinone	15	3	3	9	-14	12
15	Bologna	15	2	5	8	-10	11
16	Genoa	14	2	3	9	-14	9
17	Cagliari	15	2	3	10	-17	9
18	Udinese	13	1	4	8	-12	7
19	Chievo	14	0	6	8	-19	6
20	Empoli	14	0	4	10	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.