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Serie A
Referee: Luca Banti
Sassuolo
U T U U S
1–1
Full-time
Torino
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 2
5 Offside 10
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 8. · Torino 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 16 15 1 0 +25 46
2 Napoli 16 12 2 2 +19 38
3 Inter 16 10 2 4 +15 32
4 Lazio 17 8 4 5 +5 28
5 Milan 16 7 6 3 +6 27
6 Atalanta 16 7 3 6 +10 24
7 Roma 16 6 6 4 +7 24
8 Sassuolo 16 6 6 4 +4 24
9 Sampdoria 16 6 5 5 +6 23
10 Fiorentina 16 5 7 4 +7 22
11 Torino 16 5 7 4 +2 22
12 Parma 16 6 3 7 -5 21
13 Cagliari 17 3 8 6 -7 17
14 Empoli 16 4 4 8 -9 16
15 Spal 16 4 4 8 -10 16
16 Genoa 16 4 4 8 -11 16
17 Udinese 16 3 4 9 -9 13
18 Bologna 16 2 6 8 -11 12
19 Frosinone 16 1 5 10 -24 8
20 Chievo 16 0 7 9 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Torino
45′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
Half-time 0–1
54′
A. Belotti 0–1
S. Zaza
60′
🔁 L. De Silvestri
↦ C. Ansaldi
Rogério 🟨
63′
E. Brignola 🔁
↦ F. Di Francesco
70′
76′
🟨 Armando Izzo
K. Babacar 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
77′
80′
🔁 Iago Falqué
↦ S. Zaza
F. Magnanelli 🔁
↦ S. Sensi
87′
87′
🔁 S. Lukić
↦ D. Baselli
Enrico Brignola 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Saša Lukić
1–1 E. Brignola
Pol Lirola
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
31 G. Ferrari D
2 Marlon D
21 Pol Lirola D
6 Rogério M
68 M. Bourabia M
12 S. Sensi M
73 M. Locatelli M
10 A. Matri F
25 D. Berardi F
34 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (10)
99 E. Brignola
30 K. Babacar
4 F. Magnanelli
5 M. Lemos
28 G. Satalino
79 G. Pegolo
23 G. Magnani
39 C. Dell'Orco
29 M. Trotta
13 F. Peluso

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Torino

3-5-2
1 S. Ichazo G
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
30 K. Djidji D
5 A. Izzo D
34 O. Aina D
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli M
11 S. Zaza F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
29 L. De Silvestri
14 Iago Falqué
7 S. Lukić
21 Álex Berenguer
27 V. Parigini
36 Bremer
3 Lyanco
20 S. Edera
24 E. Moretti
89 L. Gemello
25 A. Rosati
6 R. Soriano

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca Banti · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.