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Serie A
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Bologna
S U T S S
2–3
Full-time
Empoli
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 6
6 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 13. · Empoli 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 16 11 3 2 +13 36
2 Fiorentina 16 10 2 4 +16 32
3 Napoli 16 9 5 2 +16 32
4 Juventus 16 9 3 4 +13 30
5 Roma 16 8 5 3 +12 29
6 Sassuolo 15 7 5 3 +5 26
7 Milan 16 7 4 5 +1 25
8 Atalanta 16 7 3 6 +2 24
9 Empoli 16 7 3 6 +0 24
10 Chievo 16 6 4 6 +5 22
11 Torino 15 6 4 5 +2 22
12 Lazio 16 6 2 8 -7 20
13 Bologna 16 6 1 9 -4 19
14 Palermo 16 5 3 8 -7 18
15 Udinese 16 5 3 8 -10 18
16 Sampdoria 16 4 5 7 -4 17
17 Genoa 16 4 4 8 -6 16
18 Frosinone 16 4 2 10 -15 14
19 Carpi 16 2 4 10 -17 10
20 Verona 16 0 7 9 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Empoli
24′
M. Pucciarelli 0–1
R. Saponara
34′
🟨 Andrea Costa
1–1 F. Brienza
M. Destro
36′
42′
M. Maccarone 1–2
P. Zielinski
2–2 M. Destro
45′
Half-time 2–3
48′
M. Maccarone 2–3
M. Pucciarelli
55′
🟨 Vincent Laurini
F. Falco 🔁
↦ L. Crisetig
56′
57′
🟨 Łukasz Skorupski
65′
🟨 Mário Rui
69′
🔁 M. Livaja
↦ M. Maccarone
E. Pulgar 🔁
↦ G. Donsah
72′
Erick Pulgar 🟨
74′
79′
🔁 M. Zambelli
↦ V. Laurini
M. Mancosu 🔁
↦ A. Mounier
85′
85′
🔁 D. Croce
↦ P. Zielinski
Saphir Taïder 🟨
87′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Bologna

83 A. Mirante G
28 D. Gastaldello D
13 L. Rossettini D
2 M. Oikonomou D
25 A. Masina D
6 L. Crisetig M
8 S. Taïder M
30 G. Donsah M
23 F. Brienza F
26 A. Mounier F
10 M. Destro F
Bench (12)
7 F. Falco
5 E. Pulgar
11 M. Mancosu
1 Angelo Da Costa
3 A. Morleo
15 I. M'baye
18 R. Acquafresca
20 D. Maietta
24 A. Ferrari
32 D. Stojanovic
33 M. Brighi
90 M. Crimi

Empoli

28 L. Skorupski
15 A. Costa D
21 Mário Rui D
2 V. Laurini D
26 L. Tonelli D
77 M. Büchel M
5 R. Saponara M
17 P. Zielinski M
32 L. Paredes M
7 M. Maccarone F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (12)
39 M. Livaja
3 M. Zambelli
11 D. Croce
6 L. Bittante
12 Ronaldo
13 R. Maiello
14 A. El Hadji
19 F. Barba
22 A. Piu
23 A. Pelagotti
24 U. Ćosić
31 M. Camporese

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.