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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Torino
U S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Fiorentina
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 34%
30%
37%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
56%
52%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 10. · Fiorentina 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 29 24 3 2 +52 75
2 Napoli 28 22 4 2 +43 70
3 Roma 28 17 5 6 +24 56
4 Inter 28 15 10 3 +26 55
5 Lazio 28 16 5 7 +30 53
6 Milan 27 14 5 8 +8 47
7 Sampdoria 28 13 5 10 +4 44
8 Atalanta 27 11 8 8 +7 41
9 Fiorentina 27 10 8 9 +4 38
10 Torino 27 8 12 7 +1 36
11 Udinese 28 10 3 15 -4 33
12 Bologna 28 10 3 15 -7 33
13 Genoa 27 8 6 13 -7 30
14 Sassuolo 28 7 6 15 -30 27
15 Cagliari 27 7 5 15 -18 26
16 Chievo 27 6 7 14 -21 25
17 Spal 29 5 10 14 -22 25
18 Crotone 27 6 6 15 -21 24
19 Verona 27 6 4 17 -26 22
20 Benevento 27 3 1 23 -43 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Fiorentina
Lorenzo De Silvestri 🟨
13′
Iago Falque 🟨
23′
Half-time 0–0
A. Barreca 🔁
↦ L. De Silvestri
54′
M. Niang 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
58′
59′
J. Veretout 0–1
66′
🔁 D. Falcinelli
↦ G. Simeone
M'Baye Niang 🟨
71′
A. Ljajić 🔁
↦ T. Rincón
74′
76′
🟨 Cristiano Biraghi
77′
🔁 C. Théréau
↦ R. Saponara
85′
🟨 Germán Pezzella
1–1 A. Belotti
A. Ljajić
86′
90′
🟨 Marco Benassi
94′
C. Théréau 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Torino

4-3-3
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
88 T. Rincón M
5 M. Valdifiori M
6 A. Acquah M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (9)
23 A. Barreca
11 M. Niang
10 A. Ljajić
1 S. Ichazo
4 K. Bonifazi
13 N. Burdisso
20 S. Edera
22 J. Obi
32 V. Savić

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Fiorentina

4-3-1-2
57 M. Sportiello G
31 Vitor Hugo D
3 C. Biraghi D
20 G. Pezzella D
4 N. Milenković D
5 M. Badelj M
8 R. Saponara M
17 J. Veretout M
24 M. Benassi M
9 G. Simeone F
25 F. Chiesa F
Bench (12)
11 D. Falcinelli
77 C. Théréau
2 V. Laurini
10 V. Eysseric
14 B. Dabo
15 M. Olivera
19 S. Cristóforo
22 M. Cerofolini
27 S. Lo Faso
28 Gil Dias
76 Bruno Gaspar
97 B. Drągowski

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.