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Eredivisie
Referee: Frank Jansen
NAC Breda
U T U S S
0–1
Full-time
Roda
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 21%
26%
15%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
56%
59%
Both score Ø 61%
59%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
21 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 4
7 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match NAC Breda 15. · Roda 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 28 23 2 3 +40 71
2 Ajax 27 19 4 4 +47 61
3 AZ Alkmaar 28 18 5 5 +25 59
4 Feyenoord 27 13 6 8 +20 45
5 Utrecht 24 11 7 6 +1 40
6 Zwolle 27 11 7 9 -3 40
7 Vitesse 24 10 8 6 +12 38
8 Heracles 28 10 7 11 -12 37
9 Den Haag 26 10 6 10 -4 36
10 Heerenveen 26 9 8 9 -4 35
11 Excelsior 28 10 5 13 -6 35
12 VVV Venlo 28 7 12 9 -9 33
13 Groningen 28 6 11 11 -4 29
14 Willem II 28 7 6 15 -11 27
15 NAC Breda 27 7 6 14 -13 27
16 Sparta Rotterdam 27 5 6 16 -26 21
17 Twente 28 4 7 17 -20 19
18 Roda 27 4 5 18 -33 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Oct -17 Roda – NAC Breda 1–0

Match report

NAC Breda Roda
21′
🟨 Donis Avdijaj
37′
D. Avdijaj 0–1
D. Schahin
Half-time 0–1
Paolo Fernandes 🔁
↦ T. Ambrose
59′
M. te Vrede 🔁
↦ R. Vloet
70′
70′
🔁 G. van Velzen
↦ D. Avdijaj
74′
🟨 Jannes Vansteenkiste
79′
🟨 Ognjen Gnjatic
Arno Verschueren 🟨
81′
Fabian Sporkslede 🟨
90′
93′
🔁 M. Ngombo
↦ D. Schahin
94′
🔁 L. Milts
↦ M. Rosheuvel
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-3-3
23 N. Bertrams G
22 Pablo Marí D
2 F. Sporkslede D
69 Angeliño D
5 K. Mets D
10 R. Vloet M
6 A. Verschueren M
8 M. El Allouchi M
19 Manu García M
9 T. Ambrose F
97 U. Sadiq F
Bench (9)
11 Paolo Fernandes
27 M. te Vrede
3 M. Koch
12 M. Birighitti
17 B. Brusselers
18 B. Meijers
26 K. Niemczycki
30 G. Nijholt
35 J. Horsfield

Coach: S. Vreven

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 H. Jurjus G
4 C. Kum D
3 P. Banggaard D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
8 A. Auassar D
15 O. Gnjatić M
10 Simon Gustafson M
13 W. Ndenge M
9 D. Schahin F
7 M. Rosheuvel M
27 D. Avdijaj F
Bench (10)
11 G. van Velzen
25 L. Milts
28 M. Ngombo
29 R. van Eijma
30 R. Mertens
2 H. Dijkhuizen
5 A. van Peppen
18 J. Vancamp
23 N. Rutjes
16 R. Novakovic

Coach: R. Molenaar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.