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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Fiorentina
U S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Torino
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
44%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
68%
64%
Both score Ø 66%
60%
72%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 8. · Torino 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 26 22 0 4 +38 66
2 Roma 26 19 2 5 +34 59
3 Napoli 26 16 6 4 +31 54
4 Atalanta 26 16 3 7 +16 51
5 Lazio 26 15 5 6 +16 50
6 Inter 26 15 3 8 +14 48
7 Milan 26 14 5 7 +8 47
8 Fiorentina 25 11 7 7 +7 40
9 Torino 25 9 8 8 +6 35
10 Sampdoria 26 9 8 9 -1 35
11 Chievo 26 10 5 11 -6 35
12 Cagliari 26 9 4 13 -17 31
13 Sassuolo 26 9 3 14 -7 30
14 Udinese 26 8 5 13 -7 29
15 Bologna 26 7 7 12 -15 28
16 Genoa 26 6 8 12 -13 26
17 Empoli 26 5 7 14 -22 22
18 Palermo 26 3 6 17 -28 15
19 Crotone 26 3 4 19 -24 13
20 Pescara 26 2 6 18 -30 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fiorentina Torino
1–0 R. Saponara
8′
27′
🟨 Saša Lukić
34′
🟨 Marco Benassi
2–0 N. Kalinić
Borja Valero
38′
Riccardo Saponara 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 L. Rossettini
↦ Arlind Ajeti
58′
🔁 Samuel Gustafson
↦ M. Benassi
65′
A. Belotti 2–1
E. Moretti
69′
🔁 A. Ljajić
↦ L. Boyé
N. Tomović 🔁
↦ C. Sánchez
76′
S. Cristóforo 🔁
↦ R. Saponara
80′
85′
A. Belotti 2–2
D. Baselli
M. Olivera 🔁
↦ Cristian Tello
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-2-3-1
12 C. Tătărușanu G
2 G. Rodríguez D
13 D. Astori D
18 C. Salcedo D
6 C. Sánchez M
20 Borja Valero M
5 M. Badelj M
21 R. Saponara M
25 F. Chiesa F
9 N. Kalinić F
16 Cristian Tello F
Bench (10)
40 N. Tomović
19 S. Cristóforo
15 M. Olivera
27 F. Maistro
31 H. Milić
57 M. Sportiello
23 G. Satalino
4 S. De Maio
30 K. Babacar
24 I. Hagi

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Torino

4-3-3
21 J. Hart G
24 E. Moretti D
93 Arlind Ajeti D
7 D. Zappacosta M
23 A. Barreca D
8 D. Baselli M
15 M. Benassi M
25 S. Lukić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
31 L. Boyé F
Bench (12)
13 L. Rossettini
16 Samuel Gustafson
10 A. Ljajić
18 M. Valdifiori
19 J. Iturbe
1 D. Padelli
6 A. Acquah
11 M. López
3 C. Molinaro
29 L. De Silvestri
26 Danilo Avelar
91 A. Reinaudo

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.