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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Udinese
T S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Inter
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 45%
39%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
61%
61%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 10. · Inter 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 17 14 0 3 +22 42
2 Roma 18 12 2 4 +21 38
3 Napoli 19 11 5 3 +20 38
4 Lazio 18 10 4 4 +11 34
5 Milan 17 10 3 4 +7 33
6 Atalanta 18 10 2 6 +6 32
7 Inter 18 9 3 6 +7 30
8 Torino 18 8 4 6 +9 28
9 Fiorentina 18 7 6 5 +4 27
10 Udinese 18 7 4 7 +0 25
11 Chievo 18 7 4 7 -1 25
12 Genoa 18 6 5 7 -1 23
13 Sampdoria 19 6 5 8 -4 23
14 Cagliari 18 7 2 9 -15 23
15 Bologna 17 5 5 7 -5 20
16 Sassuolo 18 5 2 11 -9 17
17 Empoli 19 4 5 10 -15 17
18 Palermo 19 2 4 13 -20 10
19 Crotone 17 2 3 12 -18 9
20 Pescara 18 1 6 11 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Inter
1–0 J. Jankto
Samir
17′
Half-time 1–1
47′
I. Perišić 1–1
M. Icardi
56′
🔁 João Mário
↦ É. Banega
E. Hallfreðsson 🔁
↦ S. Kums
63′
65′
🟨 Geoffrey Kondogbia
S. Perica 🔁
↦ R. de Paul
72′
Cyril Théréau 🟨
74′
Jakub Jankto 🟨
75′
Ryder Matos 🔁
↦ C. Théréau
80′
83′
🔁 E. Martins
↦ G. Kondogbia
Seko Fofana 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Marcelo Brozović
87′
I. Perišić 1–2
João Mário
91′
🔁 M. Andreolli
↦ I. Perišić
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Udinese

4-3-3
1 O. Karnezis G
30 Felipe D
5 Danilo D
3 Samir D
26 S. Kums M
27 S. Widmer M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
14 J. Jankto M
77 C. Théréau F
9 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
23 E. Hallfreðsson
18 S. Perica
19 Ryder Matos
37 D. Faraoni
75 T. Heurtaux
22 S. Scuffet
25 S. Perisan
60 E. Bovolon
96 Ewandro
61 L. Magnino
4 G. Angella
53 Ali Adnan

Coach: L. Delneri

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
15 C. Ansaldi M
24 J. Murillo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
19 É. Banega M
77 M. Brozović M
7 G. Kondogbia M
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (11)
6 João Mário
23 E. Martins
2 M. Andreolli
8 R. Palacio
96 Gabriel
13 A. Ranocchia
27 A. Gnoukouri
11 J. Biabiany
30 J. Carrizo
21 D. Santon
55 Y. Nagatomo

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Doveri · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.