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Serie A

Referee: Davide Ghersini

Bologna

U U U T T

0–1

Full-time

Verona

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,0

3,5

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 20%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

37%

Both score Ø 49%

37%

60%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

9 Shots 4

1 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 12. · Verona 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	31	23	4	4	+40	73
2	Napoli	31	20	7	4	+36	67
3	Roma	31	18	9	4	+34	63
4	Fiorentina	31	16	8	7	+18	56
5	Inter	31	16	7	8	+11	55
6	Milan	31	13	10	8	+8	49
7	Sassuolo	31	12	12	7	+6	48
8	Lazio	31	11	9	11	-3	42
9	Chievo	31	11	8	12	-3	41
10	Genoa	31	10	7	14	-1	37
11	Torino	31	9	9	13	-4	36
12	Bologna	30	10	6	14	-5	36
13	Atalanta	31	9	9	13	-6	36
14	Empoli	31	9	9	13	-9	36
15	Udinese	31	9	7	15	-17	34
16	Sampdoria	31	8	9	14	-5	33
17	Carpi	31	6	10	15	-20	28
18	Palermo	31	7	7	17	-25	28
19	Frosinone	31	7	6	18	-30	27
20	Verona	30	2	13	15	-25	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	15	12	3	0	+23	39
2	Juventus	15	12	2	1	+17	38
3	Roma	15	10	4	1	+22	34
4	Fiorentina	16	10	4	2	+17	34
5	Inter	16	10	2	4	+9	32
6	Milan	15	9	4	2	+9	31
7	Genoa	16	9	3	4	+11	30
8	Lazio	16	8	3	5	+7	27
9	Atalanta	16	7	4	5	+5	25
10	Sassuolo	15	6	7	2	+3	25
11	Sampdoria	15	6	4	5	+5	22
12	Frosinone	16	6	4	6	-4	22
13	Torino	16	5	6	5	+2	21
14	Chievo	15	5	6	4	+2	21
15	Udinese	15	5	3	7	-6	18
16	Bologna	15	4	5	6	+0	17
17	Empoli	15	4	5	6	-2	17
18	Carpi	16	4	5	7	-5	17
19	Palermo	15	4	3	8	-6	15
20	Verona	16	2	6	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	11	2	3	+23	35
2	Roma	16	8	5	3	+12	29
3	Napoli	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Sassuolo	16	6	5	5	+3	23
5	Inter	15	6	5	4	+2	23
6	Fiorentina	15	6	4	5	+1	22
7	Chievo	16	6	2	8	-5	20
8	Bologna	15	6	1	8	-5	19
9	Empoli	16	5	4	7	-7	19
10	Milan	16	4	6	6	-1	18
11	Udinese	16	4	4	8	-11	16
12	Torino	15	4	3	8	-6	15
13	Lazio	15	3	6	6	-10	15
14	Palermo	16	3	4	9	-19	13
15	Sampdoria	16	2	5	9	-10	11
16	Atalanta	15	2	5	8	-11	11
17	Carpi	15	2	5	8	-15	11
18	Genoa	15	1	4	10	-12	7
19	Verona	14	0	7	7	-15	7
20	Frosinone	15	1	2	12	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.