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Serie A
Referee: Marco Guida
Roma
S U U U T
3–1
Full-time
Frosinone
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
3,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,8
This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
43%
19%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 60%
67%
52%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
22 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 5. · Frosinone 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 21 14 5 2 +27 47
2 Juventus 21 14 3 4 +23 45
3 Fiorentina 21 13 2 6 +18 41
4 Inter 21 12 5 4 +12 41
5 Roma 21 9 8 4 +13 35
6 Milan 21 9 6 6 +4 33
7 Sassuolo 22 8 9 5 +2 33
8 Empoli 21 9 5 7 +1 32
9 Lazio 21 9 4 8 -1 31
10 Chievo 21 7 6 8 +1 27
11 Atalanta 22 7 6 9 -3 27
12 Torino 21 7 5 9 -1 26
13 Bologna 21 8 2 11 -3 26
14 Palermo 22 7 4 11 -11 25
15 Udinese 21 7 3 11 -16 24
16 Genoa 21 6 5 10 -3 23
17 Sampdoria 21 6 5 10 -5 23
18 Carpi 22 4 7 11 -16 19
19 Frosinone 21 4 4 13 -23 16
20 Verona 21 0 10 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Sep -15 Frosinone – Roma 0–2

Match report

Roma Frosinone
14′
🟨 Arlind Ajeti
1–0 R. Nainggolan
18′
24′
D. Ciofani 1–1
R. Chibsah
Kōnstantinos Manōlas 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 S. El Shaarawy
E. Zukanović
48′
F. Totti 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
60′
64′
🟨 Federico Dionisi
Maicon 🔁
↦ E. Zukanović
74′
76′
🔁 R. Gucher
↦ R. Chibsah
76′
🔁 L. Paganini
↦ A. Frara
W. Vainqueur 🔁
↦ Mohamed Salah
83′
3–1 M. Pjanić
F. Totti
84′
90′
🔁 M. Ciofani
↦ A. Rosi
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Roma

25 W. Szczęsny G
87 E. Zukanović D
44 K. Manolas D
2 A. Rüdiger D
16 D. De Rossi M
20 S. Kéita
4 R. Nainggolan M
15 M. Pjanić M
11 Mohamed Salah F
9 E. Džeko F
22 S. El Shaarawy F
Bench (10)
10 F. Totti
13 Maicon
21 W. Vainqueur
1 B. Lobonț
5 Leandro Castan
23 N. Gyömbér
26 M. De Sanctis
33 Emerson
48 S. Uçan
97 S. Umar

Frosinone

33 N. Leali G
28 A. Rosi M
20 D. Pavlovic
6 L. Blanchard D
93 Arlind Ajeti D
10 D. Soddimo M
21 P. Sammarco M
7 A. Frara M
22 R. Chibsah M
18 F. Dionisi F
9 D. Ciofani F
Bench (8)
8 R. Gucher
17 L. Paganini
13 M. Ciofani
1 Massimo Zappino
4 A. Russo
24 M. Diakité
25 F. Bardi
69 D. Bertoncini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.