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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Chievo
S T S S T
3–3
Full-time
Roma
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 44%
35%
53%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
29%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
47%
65%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 13. · Roma 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 17 11 3 3 +12 36
2 Fiorentina 17 11 2 4 +18 35
3 Napoli 17 10 5 2 +18 35
4 Juventus 17 10 3 4 +14 33
5 Roma 17 9 5 3 +14 32
6 Milan 17 8 4 5 +3 28
7 Sassuolo 16 7 6 3 +5 27
8 Empoli 17 8 3 6 +1 27
9 Atalanta 18 7 3 8 -1 24
10 Udinese 18 7 3 8 -8 24
11 Sampdoria 18 6 5 7 -1 23
12 Lazio 17 7 2 8 -6 23
13 Chievo 17 6 4 7 +3 22
14 Torino 16 6 4 6 +1 22
15 Bologna 17 6 1 10 -5 19
16 Palermo 17 5 3 9 -9 18
17 Genoa 18 4 4 10 -9 16
18 Frosinone 17 4 2 11 -17 14
19 Carpi 17 2 4 11 -18 10
20 Verona 17 0 8 9 -15 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Roma
7′
S. Umar 0–1
R. Inglese 🔁
↦ R. Meggiorini
18′
22′
🟨 Lucas Digne
Lucas Castro 🟨
28′
D. Dainelli 🔁
↦ A. Gamberini
36′
37′
A. Florenzi 0–2
1–2 A. Paloschi
44′
Half-time 1–2
Përparim Hetemaj 🟨
53′
Fabrizio Cacciatore 🟨
56′
2–2 D. Dainelli
V. Birsa
58′
69′
🔁 L. Di Livio
↦ Mohamed Salah
71′
Iago Falqué 2–3
W. Vainqueur
80′
🔁 N. Gyömbér
↦ S. Umar
S. Pepe 🔁
↦ V. Birsa
81′
3–3 S. Pepe
85′
88′
🟨 Lorenzo Di Livio
91′
🔁 M. Tumminello
↦ A. Florenzi
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Chievo

1 A. Bizzarri G
12 B. Cesar D
5 A. Gamberini D
21 N. Frey D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
56 P. Hetemaj M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
43 A. Paloschi F
69 R. Meggiorini F
Bench (12)
45 R. Inglese
3 D. Dainelli
7 S. Pepe
4 N. Rigoni
6 G. Pinzi
10 A. Christiansen
18 M. Gobbi
20 G. Sardo
31 S. Pellissier
32 W. Bressan
40 P. M'Poku
90 A. Seculin

Roma

25 W. Szczęsny G
13 Maicon D
44 K. Manolas D
3 L. Digne D
2 A. Rüdiger D
21 W. Vainqueur M
11 Mohamed Salah F
24 A. Florenzi D
27 Y. Gervinho F
14 Iago Falqué F
97 S. Umar F
Bench (11)
52 L. Di Livio
23 N. Gyömbér
93 M. Tumminello
1 B. Lobonț
5 Leandro Castan
16 D. De Rossi
26 M. De Sanctis
33 Emerson
35 V. Torosidis
53 C. D'Urso
57 Pepin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.