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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Atalanta
T T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 36%
33%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 48%
33%
62%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 13. · Sassuolo 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 21 14 5 2 +27 47
2 Juventus 21 14 3 4 +23 45
3 Fiorentina 21 13 2 6 +18 41
4 Inter 21 12 5 4 +12 41
5 Roma 21 9 8 4 +13 35
6 Milan 21 9 6 6 +4 33
7 Sassuolo 21 8 8 5 +2 32
8 Empoli 21 9 5 7 +1 32
9 Lazio 21 9 4 8 -1 31
10 Chievo 21 7 6 8 +1 27
11 Torino 21 7 5 9 -1 26
12 Bologna 21 8 2 11 -3 26
13 Atalanta 21 7 5 9 -3 26
14 Palermo 22 7 4 11 -11 25
15 Udinese 21 7 3 11 -16 24
16 Genoa 21 6 5 10 -3 23
17 Sampdoria 21 6 5 10 -5 23
18 Carpi 22 4 7 11 -16 19
19 Frosinone 21 4 4 13 -23 16
20 Verona 21 0 10 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Sep -15 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–2

Match report

Atalanta Sassuolo
A. Diamanti 🔁
↦ Rafael Tolói
23′
Andrea Conti 🟨
25′
27′
D. Berardi 0–1
31′
🟨 Andrea Consigli
1–1 G. Denis
32′
33′
🟨 Domenico Berardi
Half-time 1–1
66′
🟨 Grégoire Defrel
Alessandro Diamanti 🟨
69′
70′
🟨 Alessandro Longhi
72′
🔁 N. Sansone
↦ D. Falcinelli
72′
🔁 M. Trotta
↦ G. Defrel
G. Migliaccio 🔁
↦ J. Kurtič
73′
M. Borriello 🔁
↦ G. Denis
82′
90′
🔁 M. Politano
↦ D. Berardi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

57 M. Sportiello G
93 B. Dramé D
5 A. Masiello D
33 N. Cherubin D
3 Rafael Tolói D
24 A. Conti M
21 L. Cigarini M
10 A. Gómez F
15 M. de Roon M
27 J. Kurtič M
19 G. Denis F
Bench (12)
23 A. Diamanti
8 G. Migliaccio
22 M. Borriello
7 M. D'Alessandro
11 R. Freuler
13 S. Gakpé
20 M. Estigarribia
28 D. Brivio
30 D. Bassi
45 G. Monachello
55 B. Djimsiti
77 C. Raimondi

Sassuolo

47 A. Consigli G
11 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 F. Acerbi D
3 A. Longhi D
5 L. Antei D
8 D. Biondini M
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
9 D. Falcinelli F
92 G. Defrel F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (9)
17 N. Sansone
29 M. Trotta
16 M. Politano
1 A. Pomini
6 L. Pellegrini
23 M. Gazzola
28 P. Cannavaro
37 J. Broh
79 G. Pegolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.