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Serie A

Referee: Luca Banti

Juventus

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Roma

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 55%

65%

45%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

50%

70%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,9

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

1 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 2. · Roma 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	21	14	5	2	+27	47
2	Juventus	20	13	3	4	+22	42
3	Fiorentina	21	13	2	6	+18	41
4	Inter	21	12	5	4	+12	41
5	Roma	20	9	8	3	+14	35
6	Milan	21	9	6	6	+4	33
7	Sassuolo	21	8	8	5	+2	32
8	Empoli	21	9	5	7	+1	32
9	Lazio	21	9	4	8	-1	31
10	Chievo	21	7	6	8	+1	27
11	Torino	21	7	5	9	-1	26
12	Bologna	21	8	2	11	-3	26
13	Atalanta	21	7	5	9	-3	26
14	Palermo	21	7	3	11	-11	24
15	Udinese	21	7	3	11	-16	24
16	Genoa	21	6	5	10	-3	23
17	Sampdoria	21	6	5	10	-5	23
18	Carpi	21	4	6	11	-16	18
19	Frosinone	21	4	4	13	-23	16
20	Verona	21	0	10	11	-19	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	10	8	2	0	+14	26
2	Fiorentina	11	8	1	2	+15	25
3	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Lazio	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Juventus	9	6	2	1	+10	20
6	Milan	10	6	2	2	+4	20
7	Inter	11	6	2	3	+4	20
8	Torino	11	5	3	3	+6	18
9	Atalanta	10	5	2	3	+5	17
10	Sampdoria	11	5	2	4	+4	17
11	Sassuolo	10	4	5	1	+2	17
12	Genoa	10	5	1	4	+4	16
13	Empoli	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Palermo	11	4	2	5	-1	14
15	Frosinone	11	4	2	5	-5	14
16	Chievo	10	3	4	3	+3	13
17	Carpi	11	3	3	5	-2	12
18	Bologna	11	3	2	6	-1	11
19	Udinese	10	3	2	5	-8	11
20	Verona	11	0	5	6	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	7	1	3	+12	22
2	Napoli	11	6	3	2	+13	21
3	Inter	10	6	3	1	+8	21
4	Empoli	11	5	3	3	+0	18
5	Fiorentina	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Sassuolo	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Bologna	10	5	0	5	-2	15
8	Roma	10	3	5	2	+3	14
9	Chievo	11	4	2	5	-2	14
10	Milan	11	3	4	4	+0	13
11	Udinese	11	4	1	6	-8	13
12	Lazio	10	3	1	6	-10	10
13	Palermo	10	3	1	6	-10	10
14	Atalanta	11	2	3	6	-8	9
15	Torino	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Genoa	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Sampdoria	10	1	3	6	-9	6
18	Carpi	10	1	3	6	-14	6
19	Verona	10	0	5	5	-10	5
20	Frosinone	10	0	2	8	-18	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.