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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Levante
T T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 41%
19%
62%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
58%
65%
Both score Ø 48%
42%
54%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
0,9
2,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 20. · Real Madrid 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 21 3 2 +48 66
2 Ath Madrid 27 19 4 4 +28 61
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 +46 54
4 Villarreal 27 15 8 4 +15 53
5 Sevilla 27 12 8 7 +10 44
6 Celta 27 12 6 9 -5 42
7 Ath Bilbao 27 12 5 10 +6 41
8 Eibar 27 10 6 11 +4 36
9 Valencia 27 8 10 9 +2 34
10 Sociedad 27 9 7 11 -2 34
11 Malaga 27 8 8 11 -1 32
12 La Coruna 27 6 14 7 -2 32
13 Betis 26 6 10 10 -15 28
14 Espanol 26 8 4 14 -24 28
15 Las Palmas 27 7 6 14 -11 27
16 Vallecano 26 6 8 12 -17 26
17 Getafe 27 7 5 15 -18 26
18 Sp Gijon 26 6 6 14 -16 24
19 Granada 26 6 5 15 -24 23
20 Levante 26 5 5 16 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Oct -15 Real Madrid – Levante 3–0

Match report

Levante Real Madrid
34′
Cristiano Ronaldo 0–1
38′
Diego Mariño 1–1
own goal
39′
🟨 Lucas Vázquez
2–1 Deyverson
G. Rossi
39′
Simao Mate 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–1
Víctor Casadesús 🔁
↦ G. Rossi
63′
Verza 🔁
↦ Simão Junior
68′
Rubén García 🔁
↦ Víctor Camarasa
72′
74′
🔁 M. Kovačić
↦ Casemiro
Rubén García 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 Isco
↦ J. Rodríguez
86′
🔁 Jesé
↦ Borja Mayoral
92′
Isco 2–2
Cristiano Ronaldo
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Levante

1 Diego Mariño G
15 L. Orbán D
24 Z. Feddal D
2 Iván López D
14 C. Medjani D
5 Simão Junior
11 José Luis Morales M
6 Víctor Camarasa M
8 J. Lerma M
21 G. Rossi F
20 Deyverson F
Bench (7)
18 Víctor Casadesús
7 Verza
10 Rubén García
12 Juanfran
13 Rubén
9 M. Cuero
25 Joan Verdú

Real Madrid

1 K. Navas G
3 Pepe D
23 Danilo D
6 Nacho D
2 R. Varane D
8 T. Kroos M
10 J. Rodríguez M
14 Casemiro M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
18 Lucas Vázquez M
29 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (7)
16 M. Kovačić
22 Isco
20 Jesé
27 M. Ødegaard
28 Marcos Llorente
34 Álvaro Tejero
13 Kiko Casilla

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.