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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Alaves
T U T T S
0–1
Full-time
Espanol
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
18%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
55%
36%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
45%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 13. · Espanol 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 12 9 3 0 +24 30
2 Barcelona 12 8 2 2 +19 26
3 Sevilla 12 7 3 2 +5 24
4 Villarreal 11 6 4 1 +12 22
5 Ath Madrid 12 6 3 3 +14 21
6 Sociedad 11 6 1 4 +6 19
7 Eibar 12 5 3 4 +2 18
8 Ath Bilbao 11 5 2 4 +2 17
9 Celta 12 5 2 5 -4 17
10 Las Palmas 12 4 4 4 +1 16
11 Malaga 12 4 4 4 +1 16
12 Betis 12 4 2 6 -9 14
13 Alaves 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Espanol 11 2 6 3 -4 12
15 Valencia 11 3 1 7 -6 10
16 La Coruna 12 2 4 6 -9 10
17 Leganes 11 3 1 7 -13 10
18 Sp Gijon 11 2 3 6 -12 9
19 Osasuna 11 1 4 6 -9 7
20 Granada 11 0 4 7 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Espanol
15′
🟨 Hernán Pérez
Zouhair Feddal 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
Kiko Femenia 🟨
47′
Víctor Camarasa 🟨
57′
Deyverson 🟨
60′
60′
🟨 Víctor Sánchez
63′
🔁 Óscar Melendo
↦ H. Pérez
69′
🔁 P. Diop
↦ José Antonio Reyes
Ibai Gómez 🔁
↦ T. Hernández
70′
D. Torres 🔁
↦ N. Krstičić
76′
Alexis Ruano 🟨
78′
81′
Gerard Moreno 0–1
P. Piatti
82′
🔁 F. Caicedo
↦ Gerard Moreno
C. Santos 🔁
↦ C. Espinoza
83′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Fernando Pacheco G
4 Alexis D
24 Z. Feddal D
3 Raúl García D
15 T. Hernández D
23 N. Krstičić M
21 Kiko Femenía D
8 Víctor Camarasa M
14 C. Espinoza M
6 Marcos Llorente M
20 Deyverson F
Bench (7)
11 Ibai Gómez
16 D. Torres
9 C. Santos
18 Toquero
13 Ortolá
26 Manu García
22 Carlos Vigaray

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Espanol

4-1-4-1
13 Diego López G
23 D. Reyes D
29 Aarón Martín D
9 José Antonio Reyes M
14 José Jurado M
18 Javi Fuego M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
15 David López D
17 H. Pérez M
19 P. Piatti M
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (7)
30 Óscar Melendo
20 P. Diop
10 F. Caicedo
1 Roberto Jiménez
3 Rubén Duarte
16 Javi López
6 Ó. Duarte

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.