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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Brentford
U S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Bolton
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Bolton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Championship · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
35%
23%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
46%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
20 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brentford 11. · Bolton 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 26 19 4 3 +30 61
2 Cardiff 27 15 5 7 +15 50
3 Derby 25 14 6 5 +18 48
4 Bristol City 26 13 8 5 +9 47
5 Sheffield United 27 13 4 10 +9 43
6 Leeds 26 13 4 9 +9 43
7 Middlesbrough 24 12 4 8 +10 40
8 Preston 26 10 10 6 +4 40
9 Fulham 24 10 8 6 +6 38
10 Aston Villa 23 10 7 6 +12 37
11 Brentford 26 9 10 7 +4 37
12 Ipswich 26 11 3 12 +0 36
13 Norwich 26 9 7 10 -5 34
14 Nott'm Forest 26 10 2 14 -9 32
15 Sheffield Weds 27 7 10 10 -4 31
16 Millwall 26 7 9 10 -1 30
17 QPR 26 7 9 10 -8 30
18 Reading 26 7 7 12 -5 28
19 Barnsley 26 6 8 12 -10 26
20 Bolton 26 6 7 13 -18 25
21 Hull 26 5 9 12 -5 24
22 Burton Albion 26 6 6 14 -23 24
23 Birmingham 26 6 5 15 -20 23
24 Sunderland 27 4 10 13 -18 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Bolton
22′
🟨 Mark Little
1–0 F. Jozefzoon
L. Vibe
40′
42′
🟨 David Wheater
Half-time 1–0
55′
🔁 W. Buckley
↦ H. Charsley
67′
🟨 Gary Madine
68′
🔁 A. Le Fondre
↦ Filipe Morais
Sergi Canós 🔁
↦ F. Jozefzoon
77′
83′
🟨 Antonee Robinson
84′
🔁 A. Wilbraham
↦ M. Little
N. Maupay 🔁
↦ L. Vibe
86′
90′
🟨 Sammy Ameobi
2–0 N. Maupay
Sergi Canós
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brentford

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bentley G
5 A. Bjelland D
29 Y. Barbet D
33 C. Mepham D
19 R. Sawyers M
12 K. Mokotjo M
8 N. Yennaris M
15 R. Woods M
21 L. Vibe F
7 F. Jozefzoon M
11 O. Watkins M
Bench (7)
47 Sergi Canós
9 N. Maupay
4 L. MacLeod
10 J. McEachran
17 E. Marcondes
20 J. Clarke
28 L. Daniels

Coach: D. Smith

Bolton

4-2-3-1
13 B. Alnwick G
31 D. Wheater D
2 M. Little D
5 M. Beevers D
17 Derik Osede M
15 A. Robinson D
22 Filipe Morais M
10 Sammy Ameobi M
6 J. Vela M
20 H. Charsley
14 G. Madine F
Bench (7)
11 W. Buckley
9 A. Le Fondre
18 A. Wilbraham
3 A. Taylor
8 J. Karacan
23 S. Darby
33 M. Howard

Coach: J. Phillips

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.