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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Ein Frankfurt
T S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Freiburg
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
41%
24%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
47%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 18
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 8. · Freiburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 18 14 2 2 +28 44
2 Schalke 04 17 8 6 3 +7 30
3 Dortmund 17 8 4 5 +15 28
4 Leverkusen 18 7 7 4 +9 28
5 RB Leipzig 17 8 4 5 +2 28
6 M'gladbach 17 8 4 5 -1 28
7 Hoffenheim 17 7 5 5 +5 26
8 Ein Frankfurt 17 7 5 5 +2 26
9 Augsburg 17 6 6 5 +4 24
10 Hertha 17 6 6 5 +1 24
11 Hannover 17 6 5 6 -2 23
12 Wolfsburg 17 3 10 4 +0 19
13 Freiburg 17 4 7 6 -14 19
14 Stuttgart 17 5 2 10 -8 17
15 Mainz 17 4 5 8 -9 17
16 Werder Bremen 17 3 6 8 -7 15
17 Hamburg 17 4 3 10 -10 15
18 FC Koln 17 1 3 13 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Freiburg
1–0 S. Haller
T. Chandler
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Dräger
↦ B. Kapustka
51′
R. Koch 1–1
C. Günter
M. Stendera 🔁
↦ B. Hrgota
69′
D. da Costa 🔁
↦ M. Russ
78′
83′
🔁 K. Guédé
↦ L. Höler
A. Barkok 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hradecky G
23 M. Russ D
22 T. Chandler M
13 C. Salcedo D
17 K. Boateng M
20 M. Hasebe D
39 Omar Mascarell M
11 M. Gaćinović M
9 S. Haller F
31 B. Hrgota F
27 M. Wolf M
Bench (7)
21 M. Stendera
24 D. da Costa
28 A. Barkok
5 G. Fernandes
7 D. Blum
8 L. Jović
37 J. Zimmermann

Coach: N. Kovač

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 A. Schwolow G
5 M. Gulde D
17 L. Kübler D
30 C. Günter D
25 R. Koch M
4 C. Söyüncü D
6 A. Abrashi M
19 J. Haberer M
32 B. Kapustka M
18 N. Petersen F
9 L. Höler F
Bench (7)
40 M. Dräger
31 K. Guédé
13 M. Terrazzino
15 P. Stenzel
23 J. Schuster
33 C. Stanko
44 R. Gikiewicz

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.