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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Eibar

S S S U S

4–1

Full-time

Girona

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

69%

56%

Both score Ø 47%

38%

56%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 6

14 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 12. · Girona 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	13	3	0	+35	42
2	Ath Madrid	16	10	6	0	+18	36
3	Valencia	16	10	4	2	+20	34
4	Real Madrid	15	9	4	2	+19	31
5	Sevilla	17	9	2	6	-2	29
6	Villarreal	16	7	3	6	+3	24
7	Getafe	17	6	5	6	+6	23
8	Sociedad	17	6	5	6	+2	23
9	Girona	16	6	5	5	-2	23
10	Leganes	16	6	3	7	-2	21
11	Betis	16	6	3	7	-4	21
12	Eibar	16	6	3	7	-10	21
13	Celta	16	5	3	8	+3	18
14	Ath Bilbao	16	4	6	6	-3	18
15	Levante	17	3	9	5	-7	18
16	Espanol	16	4	5	7	-8	17
17	La Coruna	16	4	3	9	-13	15
18	Alaves	16	4	0	12	-13	12
19	Malaga	16	3	2	11	-17	11
20	Las Palmas	17	3	2	12	-25	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+22	22
2	Valencia	8	6	2	0	+15	20
3	Sevilla	8	6	2	0	+10	20
4	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+13	17
5	Getafe	9	5	1	3	+8	16
6	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+5	15
7	Betis	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Eibar	8	4	2	2	+4	14
9	Villarreal	7	4	1	2	+8	13
10	Espanol	8	4	1	3	+2	13
11	Sociedad	9	3	3	3	+2	12
12	Celta	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Leganes	7	3	2	2	+0	11
14	Girona	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Ath Bilbao	8	2	4	2	+0	10
16	La Coruna	8	3	1	4	-4	10
17	Levante	10	2	4	4	-5	10
18	Malaga	8	2	2	4	-5	8
19	Las Palmas	8	2	1	5	-11	7
20	Alaves	8	2	0	6	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Barcelona	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Valencia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Girona	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Sociedad	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Villarreal	9	3	2	4	-5	11
8	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-2	10
9	Sevilla	9	3	0	6	-12	9
10	Levante	7	1	5	1	-2	8
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Celta	8	2	1	5	+2	7
13	Getafe	8	1	4	3	-2	7
14	Betis	8	2	1	5	-8	7
15	Eibar	8	2	1	5	-14	7
16	Alaves	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	La Coruna	8	1	2	5	-9	5
18	Espanol	8	0	4	4	-10	4
19	Las Palmas	9	1	1	7	-14	4
20	Malaga	8	1	0	7	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.