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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Villarreal

U S U T T

0–2

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 61%

43%

79%

Points per game

1,5

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

64%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,6

2,6

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%

9 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	11	3	0	+29	36
2	Valencia	15	10	4	1	+21	34
3	Ath Madrid	15	9	6	0	+17	33
4	Real Madrid	15	9	4	2	+19	31
5	Sevilla	15	9	1	5	+0	28
6	Villarreal	14	6	3	5	+4	21
7	Getafe	15	5	5	5	+5	20
8	Leganes	15	6	2	7	-2	20
9	Sociedad	15	5	4	6	+0	19
10	Celta	15	5	3	7	+4	18
11	Betis	15	5	3	7	-6	18
12	Eibar	15	5	3	7	-11	18
13	Ath Bilbao	15	4	5	6	-3	17
14	Girona	14	4	5	5	-4	17
15	Levante	15	3	7	5	-7	16
16	Espanol	14	4	4	6	-7	16
17	La Coruna	15	4	3	8	-9	15
18	Alaves	15	4	0	11	-12	12
19	Malaga	15	3	2	10	-15	11
20	Las Palmas	15	3	1	11	-23	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valencia	8	6	2	0	+15	20
2	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+18	19
3	Sevilla	7	6	1	0	+10	19
4	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+13	17
5	Betis	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+10	13
7	Getafe	8	4	1	3	+6	13
8	Espanol	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
10	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Celta	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Leganes	7	3	2	2	+0	11
13	La Coruna	8	3	1	4	-4	10
14	Sociedad	8	2	3	3	+0	9
15	Ath Bilbao	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Levante	9	2	3	4	-5	9
17	Malaga	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Girona	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Alaves	8	2	0	6	-7	6
20	Las Palmas	7	2	0	5	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Barcelona	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Valencia	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Girona	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Leganes	8	3	0	5	-2	9
8	Sevilla	8	3	0	5	-10	9
9	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-3	8
10	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Celta	8	2	1	5	+2	7
12	Getafe	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Levante	6	1	4	1	-2	7
14	Eibar	8	2	1	5	-14	7
15	Alaves	7	2	0	5	-5	6
16	La Coruna	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Betis	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Las Palmas	8	1	1	6	-12	4
19	Espanol	7	0	3	4	-10	3
20	Malaga	8	1	0	7	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.