Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Udinese
Benevento
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | +23 | 40 |
| 2 |
Juventus
|
16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | +27 | 38 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +25 | 38 |
| 4 |
Roma
|
15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 35 |
| 5 |
Lazio
|
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 32 |
| 6 |
Sampdoria
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 27 |
| 7 |
Fiorentina
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +7 | 21 |
| 8 |
Milan
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 21 |
| 9 |
Bologna
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Chievo
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Torino
|
15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 |
Cagliari
|
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 17 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |
Genoa
|
15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -7 | 13 |
| 16 |
Crotone
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -19 | 12 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 11 |
| 18 |
Spal
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 10 |
| 19 |
Verona
|
15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 9 |
| 20 |
Benevento
|
15 | 0 | 1 | 14 | -28 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Larsen
D
B. Nuytinck
D
S. Widmer
M
S. Fofana
M
Coach: M. Oddo
A. Brignoli
G
M. D'Alessandro
M
Coach: R. De Zerbi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Crotone
Udinese
Udinese
Napoli
Udinese
Cagliari
Udinese
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Udinese
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.