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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Aureliano
Udinese
S S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Benevento
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Benevento
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Serie A · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 18%
36%
0%
Points per game
1,1
0,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
71%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
57%
47%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,7
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 14. · Benevento 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 16 12 4 0 +23 40
2 Juventus 16 12 2 2 +27 38
3 Napoli 15 12 2 1 +25 38
4 Roma 15 11 2 2 +17 35
5 Lazio 14 10 2 2 +19 32
6 Sampdoria 15 8 3 4 +8 27
7 Fiorentina 15 6 3 6 +7 21
8 Milan 15 6 3 6 +1 21
9 Bologna 15 6 3 6 +0 21
10 Chievo 16 5 6 5 -9 21
11 Atalanta 15 5 5 5 +2 20
12 Torino 15 4 8 3 -2 20
13 Cagliari 16 5 2 9 -11 17
14 Udinese 14 5 0 9 -3 15
15 Genoa 15 3 4 8 -7 13
16 Crotone 15 3 3 9 -19 12
17 Sassuolo 15 3 2 10 -19 11
18 Spal 15 2 4 9 -13 10
19 Verona 15 2 3 10 -18 9
20 Benevento 15 0 1 14 -28 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Benevento
1–0 A. Barák
J. Jankto
5′
2–0 K. Lasagna
A. Barák
41′
Half-time 2–0
48′
🟨 Andrea Costa
A. Balić 🔁
↦ S. Fofana
55′
55′
🔁 S. Armenteros
↦ V. Parigini
R. de Paul 🔁
↦ M. López
64′
Jakub Jankto 🟨
67′
71′
🔁 B. Gyamfi
↦ R. Chibsah
74′
🔁 A. Ciciretti
↦ L. Antei
82′
🟨 Bright Gyamfi
S. Ingelsson 🔁
↦ J. Jankto
82′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-1-1
1 A. Bizzarri G
5 Danilo D
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
27 S. Widmer M
53 Ali Adnan M
6 S. Fofana M
72 A. Barák M
14 J. Jankto M
20 M. López F
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
99 A. Balić
10 R. de Paul
13 S. Ingelsson
7 Ryder Matos
9 R. Bajić
18 S. Perica
21 S. Pontisso
22 S. Scuffet
23 E. Hallfreðsson
25 D. Borsellini
55 P. Bochniewicz
97 G. Pezzella

Coach: M. Oddo

Benevento

3-4-2-1
22 A. Brignoli G
21 A. Costa D
6 B. Djimsiti D
3 G. Letizia D
88 L. Antei D
7 M. D'Alessandro M
20 L. Memushaj M
4 L. Del Pinto M
13 R. Chibsah M
26 V. Parigini M
32 G. Puşcaş F
Bench (11)
90 S. Armenteros
18 B. Gyamfi
10 A. Ciciretti
1 V. Belec
11 M. Coda
14 N. Viola
17 G. Di Chiara
23 L. Venuti
24 M. Kanoute
95 A. Gravillon
99 E. Brignola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.