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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Villarreal

U S U T T

2–2

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

4,3

Scored

1,0

3,7

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+3,0

This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 68%

52%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

38%

79%

Both score Ø 47%

38%

55%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,9

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+2,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

32% Possession 68%

14 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

8 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 4. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	29	24	3	2	+62	75
2	Ath Madrid	30	21	4	5	+32	67
3	Real Madrid	29	19	6	4	+55	63
4	Villarreal	29	15	8	6	+12	53
5	Sevilla	29	13	9	7	+12	48
6	Ath Bilbao	30	14	5	11	+9	47
7	Celta	29	13	6	10	-10	45
8	Malaga	30	10	9	11	+1	39
9	Eibar	30	10	8	12	+0	38
10	La Coruna	30	7	15	8	-4	36
11	Sociedad	30	9	8	13	-4	35
12	Espanol	30	10	5	15	-25	35
13	Valencia	29	8	10	11	-1	34
14	Betis	30	8	10	12	-13	34
15	Las Palmas	30	9	6	15	-10	33
16	Vallecano	30	6	10	14	-22	28
17	Granada	30	7	7	16	-24	28
18	Getafe	30	7	7	16	-24	28
19	Sp Gijon	30	7	6	17	-20	27
20	Levante	30	6	6	18	-26	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	14	1	0	+44	43
2	Sevilla	15	13	0	2	+19	39
3	Real Madrid	15	12	1	2	+42	37
4	Villarreal	15	11	2	2	+14	35
5	Ath Madrid	14	10	3	1	+15	33
6	Ath Bilbao	14	8	3	3	+15	27
7	Celta	15	7	4	4	+2	25
8	Espanol	15	7	4	4	-7	25
9	Eibar	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Getafe	16	6	5	5	+7	23
11	Malaga	14	6	4	4	+7	22
12	Las Palmas	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	La Coruna	15	4	8	3	+5	20
14	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	+2	20
15	Valencia	14	4	7	3	+2	19
16	Vallecano	15	5	4	6	-4	19
17	Levante	15	5	3	7	-5	18
18	Sp Gijon	15	4	4	7	-4	16
19	Granada	15	4	4	7	-7	16
20	Betis	15	3	6	6	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	16	11	1	4	+17	34
2	Barcelona	14	10	2	2	+18	32
3	Real Madrid	14	7	5	2	+13	26
4	Ath Bilbao	16	6	2	8	-6	20
5	Celta	14	6	2	6	-12	20
6	Betis	15	5	4	6	-6	19
7	Villarreal	14	4	6	4	-2	18
8	Malaga	16	4	5	7	-6	17
9	La Coruna	15	3	7	5	-9	16
10	Valencia	15	4	3	8	-3	15
11	Sociedad	15	4	3	8	-6	15
12	Eibar	15	3	5	7	-4	14
13	Las Palmas	15	3	3	9	-13	12
14	Granada	15	3	3	9	-17	12
15	Sp Gijon	15	3	2	10	-16	11
16	Espanol	15	3	1	11	-18	10
17	Sevilla	14	0	9	5	-7	9
18	Vallecano	15	1	6	8	-18	9
19	Levante	15	1	3	11	-21	6
20	Getafe	14	1	2	11	-31	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.