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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Las Palmas
T T T T T
1–3
Full-time
La Coruna
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
0,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
56%
78%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
2,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 18. · La Coruna 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 10 9 1 0 +25 28
2 Valencia 10 7 3 0 +16 24
3 Real Madrid 10 6 2 2 +10 20
4 Ath Madrid 10 5 5 0 +9 20
5 Sevilla 10 6 1 3 +2 19
6 Villarreal 10 5 2 3 +5 17
7 Leganes 10 5 2 3 +4 17
8 Betis 9 5 1 3 +2 16
9 Sociedad 10 4 2 4 +1 14
10 Getafe 10 3 3 4 +2 12
11 Levante 10 2 6 2 -2 12
12 Girona 10 3 3 4 -4 12
13 Celta 10 3 2 5 +3 11
14 Ath Bilbao 10 3 2 5 -2 11
15 Espanol 9 2 4 3 -4 10
16 La Coruna 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Eibar 10 2 2 6 -17 8
18 Las Palmas 9 2 0 7 -15 6
19 Malaga 10 1 1 8 -15 4
20 Alaves 10 1 0 9 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas La Coruna
1–0 L. Rémy
Jonathan Viera
7′
Tana 🔁
↦ Jonathan Viera
14′
36′
C. Borges 1–1
F. Cartabia
Michel Macedo 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–2
54′
C. Borges 1–2
Lucas Pérez
61′
🔁 Pedro Mosquera
↦ F. Valverde
69′
Lucas Pérez 1–3
73′
🔁 Fernando Navarro
↦ Z. Bakkali
A. Aquilani 🔁
↦ Sergi Samper
74′
83′
🔁 Edu Expósito
↦ F. Cartabia
90′
🟨 Juanfran
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-3-3
1 Raúl Lizoáin G
12 Míchel D
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Bigas D
3 M. Lemos D
21 Jonathan Viera M
4 Vicente Gómez M
20 Vitolo M
6 Sergi Samper M
7 L. Rémy F
9 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
24 Tana
25 A. Aquilani
11 Momo
13 L. Chichizola
15 Borja Herrera
18 Javi Castellano
22 Ximo Navarro

Coach: Pako Ayestarán

La Coruna

4-2-3-1
25 C. Pantilimon G
12 Sidnei D
16 Luisinho D
24 F. Schär D
2 Juanfran D
22 C. Borges M
20 Guilherme M
9 F. Cartabia M
18 Z. Bakkali M
17 F. Valverde M
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
5 Pedro Mosquera
3 Fernando Navarro
27 Edu Expósito
1 P. Tytoń
6 Albentosa
8 E. Çolak
10 F. Andone

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.