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La Liga
Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez
Alaves
S T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Sevilla
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 50%
32%
68%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
64%
Both score Ø 56%
48%
64%
Average goals
2,2
3,1
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 11. · Sevilla 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 18 6 2 +55 60
2 Real Madrid 25 18 5 2 +41 59
3 Sevilla 25 17 4 4 +20 55
4 Ath Madrid 26 14 7 5 +26 49
5 Sociedad 26 15 3 8 +6 48
6 Villarreal 26 12 9 5 +19 45
7 Ath Bilbao 26 12 5 9 +2 41
8 Eibar 26 11 6 9 +5 39
9 Espanol 26 9 9 8 +0 36
10 Celta 25 10 5 10 -5 35
11 Alaves 25 8 9 8 -6 33
12 Las Palmas 26 8 8 10 -1 32
13 Valencia 26 8 5 13 -11 29
14 Betis 25 7 6 12 -14 27
15 Malaga 26 6 8 12 -11 26
16 Leganes 26 6 6 14 -19 24
17 La Coruna 25 5 8 12 -12 23
18 Granada 26 4 7 15 -30 19
19 Sp Gijon 26 4 5 17 -28 17
20 Osasuna 26 1 7 18 -37 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -16 Sevilla – Alaves 2–1

Match report

Alaves Sevilla
20′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
23′
W. Ben Yedder 0–1
Pablo Sarabia
Gaizka Toquero 🟨
29′
31′
🟨 Matías Kranevitter
Half-time 0–1
Óscar Romero 🔁
↦ Toquero
65′
A. Katai 🔁
↦ Ibai Gómez
65′
68′
🟨 Vicente Iborra
73′
🟨 Vitolo
74′
🔁 Mariano
↦ Vitolo
1–1 A. Katai
75′
83′
🟨 Mariano
83′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ G. Mercado
85′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ W. Ben Yedder
Theo Hernández 🟨
87′
N. Krstičić 🔁
↦ Víctor Camarasa
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Fernando Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
24 Z. Feddal D
15 T. Hernández D
21 Kiko Femenía D
19 Manu García M
8 Víctor Camarasa M
6 Marcos Llorente M
18 Toquero F
11 Ibai Gómez M
20 Deyverson F
Bench (7)
10 Óscar Romero
25 A. Katai
23 N. Krstičić
2 R. Ely
9 C. Santos
13 Ortolá
22 Carlos Vigaray

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Rico G
21 N. Pareja
24 G. Mercado D
18 Sergio Escudero D
5 C. Lenglet D
8 Iborra M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
20 Vitolo M
4 M. Kranevitter M
12 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (7)
3 Mariano
11 J. Correa
16 S. Jovetić
13 David Soria
14 W. Montoya
22 F. Vázquez
23 A. Rami

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.