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Serie A
Referee: Celi Domenico
Inter
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Empoli
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 40%
57%
22%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
61%
35%
Both score Ø 37%
52%
22%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,6
0,6
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 5. · Empoli 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 23 19 0 4 +31 57
2 Roma 24 17 2 5 +29 53
3 Napoli 24 15 6 3 +31 51
4 Lazio 23 13 4 6 +14 43
5 Inter 23 13 3 7 +13 42
6 Atalanta 23 13 3 7 +11 42
7 Fiorentina 24 11 7 6 +8 40
8 Milan 23 12 4 7 +6 40
9 Torino 23 8 8 7 +7 32
10 Sampdoria 23 8 6 9 -3 30
11 Udinese 24 8 5 11 -5 29
12 Chievo 23 8 5 10 -8 29
13 Sassuolo 23 8 3 12 -5 27
14 Bologna 23 7 6 10 -12 27
15 Cagliari 23 8 3 12 -16 27
16 Genoa 24 6 7 11 -8 25
17 Empoli 23 5 7 11 -17 22
18 Palermo 23 3 5 15 -23 14
19 Crotone 24 3 4 17 -22 13
20 Pescara 23 1 6 16 -31 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Empoli
1–0 E. Martins
R. Palacio
14′
41′
🟨 Omar El Kaddouri
Geoffrey Kondogbia 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
C. Ansaldi 🔁
↦ D. DAmbrosio
46′
49′
🟨 Federico Dimarco
2–0 A. Candreva
E. Martins
54′
65′
🔁 F. Barba
↦ F. Dimarco
Gabriel 🔁
↦ R. Palacio
74′
76′
🔁 M. Zajc
↦ R. Krunić
A. Pinamonti 🔁
↦ E. Martins
80′
82′
🔁 A. Tello
↦ O. El Kaddouri
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-4-2-1
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
24 J. Murillo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
17 G. Medel M
7 G. Kondogbia M
6 João Mário M
5 R. Gagliardini M
8 R. Palacio F
87 A. Candreva M
23 E. Martins F
Bench (8)
15 C. Ansaldi
96 Gabriel
99 A. Pinamonti
11 J. Biabiany
20 T. Sainsbury
21 D. Santon
30 J. Carrizo
55 Y. Nagatomo

Coach: S. Pioli

Empoli

4-3-1-2
28 Ł. Skorupski
24 U. Ćosić D
13 F. Veseli D
2 V. Laurini D
4 F. Dimarco D
11 D. Croce M
10 O. El Kaddouri M
33 R. Krunić M
8 A. El Hadji M
7 M. Maccarone F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (11)
19 F. Barba
17 M. Zajc
88 A. Tello
1 M. Pugliesi
3 M. Zambelli
5 J. Mauri
23 A. Pelagotti
27 M. Thiam
77 M. Büchel
89 G. Marilungo
71 A. Picchi

Coach: G. Martusciello

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Celi Domenico · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
10,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.