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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Malaga
S U U T T
0–2
Full-time
Sociedad
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 41%
29%
53%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
59%
53%
Both score Ø 59%
71%
47%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
5 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 13. · Sociedad 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 17 12 4 1 +30 40
2 Sevilla 18 12 3 3 +16 39
3 Barcelona 18 11 5 2 +30 38
4 Ath Madrid 18 10 4 4 +18 34
5 Villarreal 18 8 7 3 +14 31
6 Sociedad 17 9 2 6 +3 29
7 Ath Bilbao 18 8 4 6 +3 28
8 Celta 18 8 3 7 -3 27
9 Eibar 18 7 5 6 +1 26
10 Las Palmas 18 6 6 6 -2 24
11 Espanol 18 5 8 5 -3 23
12 Alaves 18 5 7 6 -3 22
13 Malaga 17 5 6 6 -3 21
14 Betis 18 6 3 9 -10 21
15 La Coruna 18 4 6 8 -5 18
16 Leganes 18 4 5 9 -16 17
17 Valencia 17 4 4 9 -7 16
18 Sp Gijon 18 3 3 12 -18 12
19 Granada 18 1 7 10 -24 10
20 Osasuna 18 1 6 11 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Sociedad
A. Peñaranda 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
21′
Half-time 0–1
50′
Íñigo Martínez 0–1
55′
🟨 Esteban Granero
56′
🔁 Illarramendi
↦ Zurutuza
62′
Juanmi 0–2
Willian José
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ Duda
65′
67′
🔁 Raúl Navas
↦ Aritz Elustondo
70′
🟨 Asier Illarramendi
J. Añor 🔁
↦ Pablo Fornals
76′
76′
🔁 Litri
↦ Álvaro Odriozola
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 C. Kameni
18 R. Rosales D
7 Juan Carlos D
4 M. Villanueva D
29 Luis D
11 G. Castro M
17 Duda M
6 Ignacio Camacho M
31 Pablo Fornals M
8 Michael Santos F
19 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (7)
16 A. Peñaranda
39 Javi Ontiveros
10 J. Añor
13 D. Boyko
14 Recio
21 Jony
5 Diego Llorente

Coach: M. Romero

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
19 Yuri D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
15 Aritz Elustondo D
10 Xabi Prieto M
8 Granero M
17 Zurutuza M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi F
29 Álvaro Odriozola D
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
4 Illarramendi
22 Raúl Navas
21 Litri
24 David Concha
16 Canales
25 Toño
14 Rubén Pardo

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.