La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Celta
Malaga
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | +31 | 40 |
| 2 |
Sevilla
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 36 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +25 | 34 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +17 | 31 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 29 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 29 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 27 |
| 8 |
Las Palmas
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +3 | 24 |
| 9 |
Eibar
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +0 | 23 |
| 10 |
Espanol
|
17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 |
Alaves
|
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | -2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Malaga
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |
Celta
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 21 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 15 |
La Coruna
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -16 | 16 |
| 17 |
Valencia
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 |
Sp Gijon
|
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -17 | 12 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -24 | 9 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -21 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Jonny Castro
D
D. Wass
M
N. Radoja
M
Iago Aspas
F
Coach: E. Berizzo
Pablo Fornals
M
Sandro Ramírez
F
Coach: M. Romero
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
Celta
Celta
Sevilla
Betis
Celta
Celta
Granada
Eibar
Celta
Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.