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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
Sevilla
T S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Sociedad
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
30%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sevilla 7. · Sociedad 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 31 24 4 3 +61 76
2 Ath Madrid 31 22 4 5 +36 70
3 Real Madrid 31 21 6 4 +60 69
4 Villarreal 31 16 9 6 +13 57
5 Celta 31 14 7 10 -8 49
6 Ath Bilbao 31 14 6 11 +9 48
7 Sevilla 30 13 9 8 +8 48
8 Malaga 31 10 10 11 +1 40
9 Eibar 31 10 8 13 -1 38
10 La Coruna 31 7 16 8 -4 37
11 Las Palmas 31 10 6 15 -9 36
12 Espanol 31 10 6 15 -25 36
13 Sociedad 30 9 8 13 -4 35
14 Valencia 31 8 10 13 -4 34
15 Betis 31 8 10 13 -17 34
16 Vallecano 31 7 10 14 -20 31
17 Granada 31 7 8 16 -24 29
18 Getafe 31 7 7 17 -26 28
19 Sp Gijon 30 7 6 17 -20 27
20 Levante 30 6 6 18 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Nov -15 Sociedad – Sevilla 2–0

Match report

Sevilla Sociedad
2′
Bergara 0–1
Illarramendi
Vitolo 🟨
25′
26′
🟨 Mikel Oyarzabal
Adil Rami 🟨
28′
34′
G. Krychowiak 1–1
own goal
Half-time 1–1
Iborra 🔁
↦ S. Cristóforo
46′
50′
🟨 Markel Bergara
2–1 K. Gameiro
51′
Mariano 🟨
52′
52′
🔁 Aritz Elustondo
↦ Carlos Martínez
59′
🔁 Granero
↦ Zurutuza
José Antonio Reyes 🟨
63′
S. N'Zonzi 🔁
↦ G. Krychowiak
66′
68′
🟨 Markel Bergara
68′
🟥 Markel Bergara
Y. Konoplyanka 🔁
↦ José Antonio Reyes
72′
75′
🟨 Gerónimo Rulli
86′
🔁 Mikel González
↦ C. Vela
90′
🟨 Yuri Berchiche
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

1 Sergio Rico G
2 B. Trémoulinas D
3 A. Rami D
25 Mariano D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
10 José Antonio Reyes M
19 É. Banega M
4 G. Krychowiak M
20 Vitolo M
14 S. Cristóforo M
9 K. Gameiro F
Bench (7)
8 Iborra
15 S. N'Zonzi
22 Y. Konoplyanka
18 Sergio Escudero
23 Coke
24 Llorente
31 David Soria

Sociedad

1 G. Rulli G
2 Carlos Martínez D
19 Yuri D
23 D. Reyes D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
5 Bergara M
28 Mikel Oiarzabal M
11 C. Vela F
Bench (7)
30 Aritz Elustondo
8 Granero
3 Mikel González
7 Bruma
22 Jonathas
24 De La Bella
31 Ander Bardaji

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Clos Gomez · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.