La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Real Madrid
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | +36 | 48 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | +22 | 48 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | +38 | 43 |
| 4 |
Villarreal
|
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | +10 | 41 |
| 5 |
Celta
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 34 |
| 6 |
Eibar
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +8 | 33 |
| 7 |
Sevilla
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 33 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +2 | 31 |
| 9 |
La Coruna
|
21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |
Getafe
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 |
Valencia
|
21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 25 |
| 12 |
Malaga
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 24 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -15 | 22 |
| 14 |
Sociedad
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 21 |
| 15 |
Betis
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 16 |
Granada
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -19 | 20 |
| 17 |
Vallecano
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 |
Las Palmas
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -11 | 18 |
| 19 |
Sp Gijon
|
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -13 | 18 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -19 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Fabián Ruiz
M
L. Modrić
M
Isco
M
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Villarreal
Betis
Getafe
Betis
Betis
Eibar
Barcelona
Betis
Betis
Sevilla
Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.